Underlying Labor Market Dynamics Are Solid, Recession Stays on the Back Burner by Wolf Richter • Jul 1, 2025 • 34 Comments Companies don’t just suddenly drop everything to stew in their own juices.
Will Economic Detox Lead to a Recession? Maybe Not. But a Long Deep Stock Market Rout Will (See Dotcom Bust) by Wolf Richter • Mar 14, 2025 • 220 Comments “We’re focused on the real economy,” Bessent said. “Ouch,” stocks said. Where did the Trump put go?
The Data Mess. Markets, Interest Rates & Inflation and There’s Still No Recession; Risks of Financialization & Overleverage by Wolf Richter • Aug 26, 2024 • 87 Comments Wolf Richter on Thoughtful Money.
Our Favorite Recession Indicator: Next Recession Keeps Moving Further Out by Wolf Richter • May 9, 2024 • 181 Comments It’s time again to look at the trends in claims for unemployment insurance benefits.
The Year of the Recession that Didn’t Come: Our Drunken Sailors Partied & Spent, GDP Jumped by Wolf Richter • Jan 25, 2024 • 100 Comments All major categories of spending and investment pulled in the same direction.
“Leading Economic Index” Predicts Recession for Early 2024, after Having Predicted a Recession for Late 2022, Early 2023, Mid-2023, and Late 2023 by Wolf Richter • Nov 20, 2023 • 157 Comments And there’s Still No Recession!
My Favorite Recession Indicator: No Recession in Sight Yet by Wolf Richter • Oct 19, 2023 • 129 Comments There will be a recession someday, there’s always one eventually. But not yet.
New Vehicle Sales +20% in Q3 YoY. Pent-Up Demand Comes Home to Roost. Our Drunken Sailors in No Mood for a Recession by Wolf Richter • Oct 4, 2023 • 143 Comments Average listing price rose 2.2% to $47,417. The strikes, if they drag on, could squeeze inventories, which would pressure prices again.
My Favorite Recession Indicator: The Next Recession Moves Further out of Sight by Wolf Richter • Sep 7, 2023 • 221 Comments There will be a recession, there’s always a recession eventually. But we’ll just have to keep watching for it.
Americans Still in No Mood for Recession: New Vehicle Sales Jump 17.5% in Q2 YoY as Inventories Normalize after Shortages by Wolf Richter • Jul 6, 2023 • 88 Comments Incentives jump but still below normal. Average Transaction Price and Average Listing Price stuck at ridiculous levels.
