The Yield Curve’s Steep Inversion, now Partial Un-inversion, the Sag in the Middle, and its Predictions of Recessions by Wolf Richter • Sep 8, 2024 • 85 Comments Over the past 25 years, the yield curve predicted 4 business-cycle recessions, two of which didn’t come. So we handle it with care.
Rate Cut Mania Now Crushing Stocks after Whipping Stocks into Frenzy or Whatever. Mag 7 Down $2.5 Trillion from Peak, Nasdaq Bloodied, Semis Crushed by Wolf Richter • Sep 7, 2024 • 127 Comments A 4% drop will put the Nasdaq back to Nov 2021. Amazon, Tesla, Alphabet already back where they’d been 3 or 4 years ago. Nvidia -24% from peak.
Bloodletting in Semiconductor Stocks Kicks Off September: Nvidia -11.7% Regular & Late Trading, Market Cap Drops by Half a Tesla by Wolf Richter • Sep 3, 2024 • 155 Comments Nasdaq Composite dropped 3.3%. If it drops another 6.7%, it’ll be back to November 2021.
Banks Still Stuck with $13 Billion in Risky Loans from Musk’s LBO of Twitter 22 Months Ago, Possibly the Longest Hung Deal of this Size Ever by Wolf Richter • Aug 20, 2024 • 98 Comments The banks could sell the leveraged loans, but only at a big loss. Some have already written them down by hundreds of millions of dollars.
A Big Week for Stocks, a Huge 7 Days for Nvidia (+26%), after the Battering They’d Taken by Wolf Richter • Aug 16, 2024 • 121 Comments Much of the heavy lifting of these mindboggling amounts was done in two trading days.
B. Riley Financial Collapses 52% Today, -91% in 2.5 Years since Peak Consensual Hallucination by Wolf Richter • Aug 12, 2024 • 52 Comments It dumped on already puking shareholders a surprise disclosure of huge losses that exceed its capital, amid reports of widening SEC investigation.
Kind of a Funny Week for Stocks, Lots of Drama, Little Change: But Tesla & Nvidia Ended Deeper in the Hole by Wolf Richter • Aug 10, 2024 • 106 Comments Our pantheon of Imploded Stocks is weighing down the Russell 2000 index.
PE Firm Blackstone’s Epic Pump-n-Dump with Bumble now down to just a Mop-up Operation: Shares -94% since IPO Pop by Wolf Richter • Aug 8, 2024 • 70 Comments Blackstone made over $2 billion (as the public got wiped out), taking advantage of Consensual Hallucination.
US Stocks Open into Mess but Whiff of Panic Fades after Japan Crashed 12% Today, 20% since BOJ Ended Free Money by Wolf Richter • Aug 5, 2024 • 121 Comments This week starts out somewhat ugly. AI-hype-driven rally is losing hot air.
Berkshire Dumped Nearly Half its Apple Shares plus Other Stocks into Final Burst of Rally, Bought T-Bills. Cash is King by Wolf Richter • Aug 4, 2024 • 163 Comments “You could conclude this is another sell signal. This was a far higher level of selling activity than we were expecting.”
