Treasury Market Gets Memo with Subject Line: “Higher for Longer” but Someone Scribbled next to it, “Maybe Forever?” by Wolf Richter • Sep 21, 2023 • 166 Comments “Neutral rate” creeping higher? Oh dearie! Bloodbath at the long end.
Investment-Grade Corporate Giants Suddenly Sell Huge Amounts of Debt to Front-Run even Higher Long-Term Yields by Wolf Richter • Sep 11, 2023 • 175 Comments Further pressuring long-term Treasury yields, amid fears of bad inflation “surprises.” Share buybacks a lot more expensive, but no problem either.
After some Wavering, Corporate Bond Market Adjusts to Tightest Monetary Policies in Decades and Returns to La-La-Land by Wolf Richter • Aug 30, 2023 • 67 Comments Record QT and big Rate Hikes no problem: Corporate Bond Market Distress Index drops to lowest level since before the Fed started tightening.
Mortgage Rates Adjust to New Era, Jump to Highest since 2001. Long-Term Treasury Market Slowly Coming out of Denial by Wolf Richter • Aug 24, 2023 • 184 Comments The new era of “higher for much longer.” The 40-year bond & mortgage bull market died in late 2020.
Ten-Year Treasury Yield Hits 15-Year High, Market Wades out of Denial, Sees “Higher-for-Longer,” Tsunami of Issuance, QT by Wolf Richter • Aug 16, 2023 • 205 Comments “Higher for longer be damned”: consumers and businesses.
What Consumers Earn in Interest Income vs. What they Pay in Interest Expense by Wolf Richter • Aug 14, 2023 • 174 Comments One reason why the drunken sailors are in no mood to slow down. Lots of them make a lot more money on T-bills, CDs, money-market funds. Others pay more.
Consumer Foreclosures, Bankruptcies, Delinquencies, and Collections: Checking on the Hangover of our Drunken Sailors by Wolf Richter • Aug 12, 2023 • 153 Comments Not much of a hangover yet. Going to see more of these frying-pan charts
Our Drunken Sailors Still Not in Trouble with their Credit Cards by Wolf Richter • Aug 8, 2023 • 77 Comments Keeping an eye on them because some day enough of them will get in trouble to move the needle. But not yet.
Here Comes the Tsunami of Longer-Term Treasury Notes & Bonds: Monthly Auction Sizes +60% by August Next Year by Wolf Richter • Aug 2, 2023 • 180 Comments Good Lordy.
End of Easy Money: Financial Conditions Loosen Again for Junk-Rated Companies. But Some that Long Teetered Finally Go Over the Bankruptcy Cliff by Wolf Richter • Jul 10, 2023 • 119 Comments Tightening is a slow process, and there is still a flood of excess liquidity chasing after yield.
