Who’s on the Hook for Multifamily CRE Mortgages? #1 Taxpayers, far ahead of #2 Banks by Wolf Richter • Mar 18, 2024 • 78 Comments Another reason why the Fed can let the CRE swoon rip.
The Banks: “Unrealized Losses” in Q4, Securities Held by Banks, Bank Failures, and the Dropping Bank Count by Wolf Richter • Mar 10, 2024 • 129 Comments In 2024, some banks will fail. In 2023, five banks failed. In 1989, over 500 banks failed. Since 1936, there were only 5 years without bank failures.
Some of the 49 Small Banks Heavily Exposed to Bad Multifamily CRE Loans May Topple, but their Size Limits Contagion: Fitch by Wolf Richter • Feb 19, 2024 • 92 Comments Multifamily lending ballooned 32% from early 2020, powered by low interest rates and soaring rents. Now there’s a price to pay.
US Office CRE Mess Is Spread Far and Wide across Investors & Banks Globally. US Banks Eat only a Portion of the Losses by Wolf Richter • Feb 5, 2024 • 93 Comments Japanese, Canadian, and European banks started to confess. And for over a year, huge losses have hit investors, not banks.
“Effective Immediately,” Fed Shuts Down Arbitrage Opportunity with the Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) by Wolf Richter • Jan 24, 2024 • 134 Comments This is funny, in a central-bank kind of way.
“Unrealized Losses” on Securities Held by Banks Jump by 22% to $684 Billion in Q3, Oh Lordy by Wolf Richter • Nov 30, 2023 • 104 Comments They don’t matter until they suddenly do.
Money Market Funds, Large CDs, Small CDs All Surged: Americans Figured it Out by Wolf Richter • Nov 24, 2023 • 144 Comments Banks, forced by competition from money market funds, got the memo.
“Unrealized Losses” on Securities Held by Banks, Oh Dearie, the Whole Schmear: +8%, to $558 Billion by Wolf Richter • Sep 8, 2023 • 257 Comments How do you lose 47% on 30-year Treasuries? Buy at auction in Aug 2020. Or carry them at purchase price and hide the “unrealized loss” in the footnotes.
CRE Gets Messier: Office-CMBS Delinquency Rate Spikes the Fastest Ever. Bank-Held Office Mortgages also Hit by Wolf Richter • Aug 3, 2023 • 125 Comments Unlike the defaults during the Financial Crisis, this default cycle is structural, in addition to being financial.
Banks’ Unrealized Losses on Securities Drop for Second Quarter in a Row, -25% from Peak by Wolf Richter • Jun 1, 2023 • 47 Comments From huge to somewhat less huge? Because they’re still six times the magnitude of the prior worst-record in 2018