“The Market is Almost Always Wrong About What the Fed Will Do”: Chart by Wolf Richter • Jun 11, 2019 • 83 Comments The rate cuts for 2019 are a pipe-dream: Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank.
Fed Balance Sheet Drops by $42 Billion in May, Sheds MBS at Fastest Pace, Starts the Reverse of Operation Twist by Wolf Richter • Jun 6, 2019 • 56 Comments But where the heck is the “U-Turn?”
Here’s My Prediction: If the Fed Doesn’t Cut Rates 3 or 4 Times by Dec 11, Markets Are Going to Crap by Wolf Richter • Jun 6, 2019 • 95 Comments Stock market and corporate bond market are in la-la-land, pricing in an economic boom. They’re not seeing a rate-cut economy. So why would the Fed?
Treasury Market Acts Like the Economy is in a Death Spiral, But Wait… by Wolf Richter • Jun 4, 2019 • 65 Comments Transcript of my podcast.
American Consumers Prop Up the Economy. Wall Street Clamors for Multiple Rate Cuts. Fed Blows Off Wall Street by Wolf Richter • May 31, 2019 • 58 Comments The economy is in a “very good place,” says Trump’s man at the Fed. And the Fed’s favorite inflation measure ticks up.
Yield-Curve Spaghetti: “Middle-Age Sag” Gets Fatter, May Serve Up Surprises by Wolf Richter • May 30, 2019 • 41 Comments This peculiar creature of an inverted yield curve.
OK, I Get it, Markets Have Gone Nuts: Junk-Bonds Are in Party Mood, Treasuries Clamor for Doom & Rate Cuts by Wolf Richter • May 30, 2019 • 103 Comments One of them is wrong. Watch out for it to snap in an ugly manner.
My Fancy-Schmancy “Fed Hawk-o-Meter.” And the Fed Says It’ll be “Patient” with Rate Cuts, Even at “Low Inflation” by Wolf Richter • May 22, 2019 • 38 Comments The Fed introduces a new thingy about “patient” to tamp down on the clamorers on Wall Street.
Fed Launches ‘Rate Peg Instead of QE’ Trial Balloon for Next Crisis by Wolf Richter • May 8, 2019 • 87 Comments Wall Street hype artists and QE mongers would be deeply disappointed.
Fed’s QE Unwind Continues at Full Speed in April by Wolf Richter • May 3, 2019 • 85 Comments Fed sheds $46 Billion, Total QE Unwind Reaches $580 Billion. Assets drop to lowest level since Nov 2013.
