How Strung-Out Are Households with their Debt Service & Financial Obligations as the Miracle of Free-Money Fades? by Wolf Richter • Dec 22, 2022 • 138 Comments Looks like households have lots of fuel left to throw on inflation, if they’re in the mood.
Drop in 10-Year Treasury Yield & Mortgage Rates Is Just Another Bear-Market Rally. Longer Uptrend in Yields Is Intact, with Higher Highs and Higher Lows by Wolf Richter • Dec 4, 2022 • 149 Comments “Nothing goes to heck in a straight line.” That’s how functional markets adjust to a new reality: Higher inflation, higher rates.
Era of Stimulus-Distorted Consumer Credit Ends: Auto Loans, Delinquencies, Prime & Subprime by Wolf Richter • Nov 17, 2022 • 93 Comments Auto-loan balances surge on sky-high prices, despite sales plunge. Delinquencies rise to pre-pandemic lows, subprime delinquencies return to 2016-2019 levels.
Credit Card Balances, Burden, Delinquencies & Collections in Q3: Consumers Still in Great Shape with their Cards by Wolf Richter • Nov 15, 2022 • 111 Comments Credit cards mostly a payment method, paid off monthly. Importance for borrowing declined over the years.
Mortgage Bankers Predict Mortgage Rates to Drop to 5.4% by End of 2023. A Year Ago, They Forecast 4% by Now, but Now We’re at 7%. Wishful Thinking by Crushed Mortgage Lenders? by Wolf Richter • Oct 24, 2022 • 172 Comments This raging inflation will keep dishing up a lot more surprises.
Return of the Bond Vigilantes Sent Shockwaves Around the Globe by Wolf Richter • Oct 18, 2022 • 104 Comments Deficits didn’t matter – until raging inflation brought the bond vigilantes back to life.
Bank of England Bought Only Small Amounts of Bonds even Today, Warns Pension Funds They Have “Only Three Days Left” to Unwind Derivatives with BOE Support by Wolf Richter • Oct 11, 2022 • 104 Comments BOE is caught between 10% inflation it needs to crack down on with rate hikes & QT and a crisis over derivatives that leveraged UK pension funds blew their brains out with.
There’s Lots of “Liquidity” in the Treasury Market, but at Higher Yields, in this Raging Inflation by Wolf Richter • Oct 10, 2022 • 185 Comments Higher Yields Solve “Liquidity” Problems.
THE WOLF STREET REPORT: Something Big Has Already Broken: Price Stability by Wolf Richter • Oct 9, 2022 • 331 Comments The Fed will tighten “Until Something Breaks” and then pivot? Wait a minute…
UK Chaos Economics: Fretting over “Financial Stability” & “Contagion” after Gilts Plunged, Bank of England Buys Bonds by Wolf Richter • Sep 28, 2022 • 262 Comments It wasn’t big hedge funds that blew up, but £1.5 trillion in leveraged pension funds. BoE stepped in to bail them out and prevent further contagion.
