Spring Selling Season Already Goes to Heck, Pending Home Sales Plunge. Banking Crisis to Blame? by Wolf Richter • Apr 27, 2023 • 101 Comments A harbinger for closed sales in April and May.
Consumers, Governments Spent like Drunken Sailors in Q1. Private Investment Plunge & Inventory Change Dogged GDP by Wolf Richter • Apr 27, 2023 • 71 Comments Americans came out of their funk they’d been in late last year. They’re 70% of GDP. They blew money left and right; spending on durable goods spiked!
What Are We Going to Do with All these Unicorns? by Wolf Richter • Apr 26, 2023 • 91 Comments Another Easy-Money hangover.
Second PE-Firm-Owned Subprime Auto Dealer & Lender Suddenly Shuts Down after its Subprime Auto-Loan Bonds Make a Huge Mess by Wolf Richter • Apr 18, 2023 • 127 Comments “Net losses and gross charge-offs were understated” – Oopsie?
Another CRE Giant, Brookfield again, Defaults on Floating-Rate Office Mortgage. Again, CMBS Get this Mess, Not Banks by Wolf Richter • Apr 18, 2023 • 66 Comments Maybe banks, instead of keeping the riskiest CRE loans, securitized them? Would be a hoot to find out over the next few years as this plays out.
What Would Happen if the Fed Caves to 4%-5% Core PCE Inflation, Gives up on 2%, as some Folks are Clamoring For? by Wolf Richter • Apr 16, 2023 • 349 Comments The economy would muddle through, but in the markets, all heck would break loose. Here’s why.
Banks and Commercial Real Estate Debt, a Deep Dive: Investors and Government on the Hook for the Majority of CRE Debt by Wolf Richter • Apr 10, 2023 • 95 Comments Retail CRE debt has been crappy since 2017, and banks managed without collapsing. Now Office goes to heck. Multifamily, the biggie, is following.
What Are Older Office Towers Worth When They Finally Sell amid Record Vacancy Rates? Not Much. Huge Losses Everywhere by Wolf Richter • Apr 8, 2023 • 160 Comments But foreclosure sales are far worse, including a total wipeout of CMBS investors.
New Vehicle Sales in Q1 Jump 11.7%. Inventories Build, But Still Less than Half of 2019. Pent-up Demand at 6 Million Vehicles by Wolf Richter • Apr 5, 2023 • 132 Comments Going to be tough for a recession to gain momentum with this kind of demand-overhang going into it.
San Francisco Office Market Turns into Nightmare, in Two Easy Steps. Step 1: Hogging Office Space; Step 2: Working from Home by Wolf Richter • Apr 4, 2023 • 125 Comments Step 3: The economy… but that step hasn’t happened yet.
