Banks and Commercial Real Estate Debt, a Deep Dive: Investors and Government on the Hook for the Majority of CRE Debt by Wolf Richter • Apr 10, 2023 • 95 Comments Retail CRE debt has been crappy since 2017, and banks managed without collapsing. Now Office goes to heck. Multifamily, the biggie, is following.
Apple Mac Shipments Plunge 40% in Q1, Out-Plunging with Ease the Other Big PC Makers by Wolf Richter • Apr 10, 2023 • 119 Comments Hangover-time for PC makers after the explosion of demand during the pandemic.
What Are Older Office Towers Worth When They Finally Sell amid Record Vacancy Rates? Not Much. Huge Losses Everywhere by Wolf Richter • Apr 8, 2023 • 160 Comments But foreclosure sales are far worse, including a total wipeout of CMBS investors.
The Fed Isn’t Having a Lot of Luck Cooling this Labor Market by Wolf Richter • Apr 7, 2023 • 215 Comments This is still an astonishingly tight labor market: astonishing because the Fed has hiked rates for a year and not much has changed.
Fed’s Balance Sheet Plunges by $101 Billion in Two Weeks, as QT Continues and Bank Liquidity Support Begins to Unwind by Wolf Richter • Apr 6, 2023 • 114 Comments The dream of a return to QE was fun while it lasted.
Unemployment Insurance Claims Still at Good-Times Levels as Gone-Awry Seasonal Adjustments Get Fixed by Wolf Richter • Apr 6, 2023 • 55 Comments Labor market that’s less tight, where it takes a little longer to find a new job, similar to the Good Times before the pandemic.
New Vehicle Sales in Q1 Jump 11.7%. Inventories Build, But Still Less than Half of 2019. Pent-up Demand at 6 Million Vehicles by Wolf Richter • Apr 5, 2023 • 132 Comments Going to be tough for a recession to gain momentum with this kind of demand-overhang going into it.
San Francisco Office Market Turns into Nightmare, in Two Easy Steps. Step 1: Hogging Office Space; Step 2: Working from Home by Wolf Richter • Apr 4, 2023 • 125 Comments Step 3: The economy… but that step hasn’t happened yet.
This is Still the Most Astonishing Labor Market: Job Openings, Hiring, Voluntary Quits, Layoffs & Discharges by Wolf Richter • Apr 4, 2023 • 75 Comments Still lots of churn as workers arbitrage the tight labor market for their benefit. Back to “normal” a long way off.
The “Extraordinary Measures” that the Government Uses in the Debt-Ceiling Farce to Delay a Default by Wolf Richter • Apr 3, 2023 • 189 Comments The government can manipulate the gross national debt to keep it below the debt ceiling while issuing new debt. But not for long. Then the game is over.
