US Government Sold $524 Billion of Treasury Securities this Week. Inflation to Surpass T-Bill Yields. Brutal Bond Math by Wolf Richter • Apr 25, 2026 • 63 Comments The effects of Tax Day. The 10-Year Treasury yield rose to 4.31%, 30-Year Treasury yield to 4.91%.
The Largest Foreign Holders of US Treasury Securities and the “Basis Trade”: April 2026 Update by Wolf Richter • Apr 15, 2026 • 49 Comments Foreign demand for the ballooning US Treasury debt is an increasingly important issue. But how much of that demand is actually “foreign?”
US Government Sold $620 Billion of Treasury Securities this Week. 10-Year Yield Ends at 4.31%, 30-Year Yield at 4.91% by Wolf Richter • Apr 11, 2026 • 120 Comments Those yields look too low for what’s coming at the bond market: The next wave of Inflation and a Fed that’s comfortable with 3%+ core PCE inflation.
US Government Interest Payments, Tax Receipts, Average Interest Rate on the Debt, and Debt-to-GDP Ratio in Q4 2025 by Wolf Richter • Apr 9, 2026 • 40 Comments It’s ugly, but slightly less ugly.
Bond Market Gets Nervous about Rising Inflation, Ballooning Debt, Sees Rate Hike. Mortgage Rates Jump to 6.46% by Wolf Richter • Apr 4, 2026 • 65 Comments 10-Year Treasury yield bounced to 4.35% on Friday, after dipping earlier in the week. 30-year Treasury near 5%. Entire Yield Curve above EFFR.
2-Year, 3-Year Treasury Yields Spike, Flip to Rate Hike. Yield Curve Uninverts. Government Sold $606 Billion of Treasury Securities this Week as the Borrowing Must Go On by Wolf Richter • Mar 21, 2026 • 94 Comments Whiff of turmoil in the bond market as inflation fears moved to the front and center.
Treasury Yields Spike, 10-Year to 4.39%, 30-Year to 4.96%, Mortgage Rates to 6.5%, as the Bond Market Gets Antsy by Wolf Richter • Mar 20, 2026 • 54 Comments Bond market frets about inflation, leveraged Treasury bets unwind, housing market frets about spring selling season.
Bond Market Gets Edgy as US Treasury Debt Hits $39 Trillion, Spiking by $2 Trillion in 7.5 Months and Not Slowing Down by Wolf Richter • Mar 19, 2026 • 80 Comments But debt doesn’t exist in a vacuum: The Debt-to-GDP and Deficit-to-GDP ratios provide (ugly) context.
Treasury Yields Jump, 10-Year to 4.28%, 30-Year to 4.90%, Mortgage Rates Spike to 6.41%, on Inflation & Deficit Fears by Wolf Richter • Mar 14, 2026 • 54 Comments US Government sold $651 billion of Treasury securities this week into these rising yields.
10-Year & 30-Year Treasury Yields Jump, Yield Curve Steepens, Mortgage Rates Jump too, as Inflation Fears Move to the Top by Wolf Richter • Mar 7, 2026 • 71 Comments The bond market flipped from haven trade to inflation trade.