Every city is confronted with dying malls and vacancy-pocked shopping districts. Is there a cure? No. The failing retailers were already on their way to the morgue. Is there a vaccine that will help? Yes.
There’s Just No Good Way Out.
A dozen major brands, thousands of stores, after years of struggling. Work-from-home is annihilating casual and formal office attire.
CMBS delinquency rates for retail properties spiked to 18% and for hotel properties to 24%.
PE firms sit on lots of cash but won’t invest it in their stripped-bare and failing restaurant chains.
A zombie well before the pandemic, the UK company had racked up huge debts to finance rapid growth in a sector that had started shrinking some time ago.
It’s a pandemic, so there are problems with the data.
Winners in this crisis: Ecommerce – for retailers that don’t sell men’s office & formal wear – and for sure, lawyers.
“People do not buy a new outfit to stay at home.” Sales at stores that have reopened languish while ecommerce is booming. McKinsey: up to a third of global fashion retailers will not survive the crisis.
Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities backed by hotel and mall properties get hit the hardest. Mall-REIT CBL failed to make bond interest payment yesterday.