Recession Watch: This Labor Market is Not There Yet, Nor Are Consumers by Wolf Richter • Aug 25, 2022 • 183 Comments Over the decades, recessions were preceded by spikes in unemployment claims. We keep our eyes on them as the recession watch has begun.
Recession Watch: US Freight Drops to Worst Level since 2010, “Excess of Capacity” Crushes Rates by Wolf Richter • Sep 20, 2016 • 12 Comments “Overall shipment volumes are persistently weak.”
Recession Watch: Freight Volume Drops, Worst Level since 2010 by Wolf Richter • May 14, 2016 • 57 Comments Inventory glut, lousy consumer demand, weak global economy…
Recession Watch: Inventory Glut, Iffy Consumer Demand Sink US Freight Volume by Wolf Richter • Apr 19, 2016 • 21 Comments Worst March, worst first quarter since 2010.
Recession Watch: Hidden Messages in the Jobs Report by Larry Kummer • Dec 4, 2015 • 5 Comments Slowness of the recovery is its most amazing characteristic.
Recession Watch: Falling Commodity Prices to Hurt America by Larry Kummer • Nov 24, 2015 • 9 Comments Leading indicator of trade, economic growth, and geopolitical instability.
Recession Watch: Turning Point in Unemployment Claims? by Larry Kummer • Nov 19, 2015 • 5 Comments A new era has begun for the US and global economy.
The Data Mess. Markets, Interest Rates & Inflation and There’s Still No Recession; Risks of Financialization & Overleverage by Wolf Richter • Aug 26, 2024 • 87 Comments Wolf Richter on Thoughtful Money.
Our Favorite Recession Indicator: Next Recession Keeps Moving Further Out by Wolf Richter • May 9, 2024 • 181 Comments It’s time again to look at the trends in claims for unemployment insurance benefits.
The Year of the Recession that Didn’t Come: Our Drunken Sailors Partied & Spent, GDP Jumped by Wolf Richter • Jan 25, 2024 • 100 Comments All major categories of spending and investment pulled in the same direction.
