176 search results for "recession watch"

Recession Watch: My Favorite Recession Indicator, Mid-June Update

by Wolf Richter • Jun 12, 2025 • 118 Comments

It says: “Not yet,” and “Quite a ways to go.” This trend has reversed before, but if it doesn’t and instead picks up momentum… Time to keep an eye on it.

Recession Watch: Time to Dig Out Our Favorite Recession Indicator Again

by Wolf Richter • May 8, 2025 • 101 Comments

Recession talk is swirling densely all over the place, so let’s have a look.

Recession Watch: This Labor Market is Not There Yet, Nor Are Consumers

by Wolf Richter • Aug 25, 2022 • 183 Comments

Over the decades, recessions were preceded by spikes in unemployment claims. We keep our eyes on them as the recession watch has begun.

Recession Watch: US Freight Drops to Worst Level since 2010, “Excess of Capacity” Crushes Rates

by Wolf Richter • Sep 20, 2016 • 12 Comments

“Overall shipment volumes are persistently weak.”

Recession Watch: Freight Volume Drops, Worst Level since 2010

by Wolf Richter • May 14, 2016 • 57 Comments

Inventory glut, lousy consumer demand, weak global economy…

Recession Watch: Inventory Glut, Iffy Consumer Demand Sink US Freight Volume

by Wolf Richter • Apr 19, 2016 • 21 Comments

Worst March, worst first quarter since 2010.

Recession Watch: Hidden Messages in the Jobs Report

by Larry Kummer • Dec 4, 2015 • 5 Comments

Slowness of the recovery is its most amazing characteristic.

Recession Watch: Falling Commodity Prices to Hurt America

by Larry Kummer • Nov 24, 2015 • 9 Comments

Leading indicator of trade, economic growth, and geopolitical instability.

Recession Watch: Turning Point in Unemployment Claims?

by Larry Kummer • Nov 19, 2015 • 5 Comments

A new era has begun for the US and global economy.

Underlying Labor Market Dynamics Are Solid, Recession Stays on the Back Burner

by Wolf Richter • Jul 1, 2025 • 34 Comments

Companies don’t just suddenly drop everything to stew in their own juices.

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