What’s an Acceptable Risk Level? COVID-19 is already the leading cause of death in the US.
Eradicate the virus — without a vaccine? Manage infection rates to let the population “build immunity through suffering” until a vaccine is available? How can we revive the economy without risking thousands of deaths in fresh outbreaks?
Madrid area hospitals were forced into wartime-triage, denying care to the elderly in order to give the young a better chance.
Clues about when the disease may overwhelm hospitals are valuable. Without such forecasts, local exponential growth only gives hospitals a few days advance warning.
Why does it work this way?