Most Reckless Fed Ever: “Real” Federal Funds Rate Now the Most Negative Ever by Wolf Richter • Jan 12, 2022 • 159 Comments Even most junk bonds have negative “real” yields. And the Fed is still fueling this madness.
Wage Price Spiral Takes Off, Companies Point at it: Albertsons Shares -8%, JP Morgan’s Dimon Sees “Huge Pressure” on Labor Market by Wolf Richter • Jan 11, 2022 • 175 Comments The Fed finally sees it too.
Buyers’ Strike Finally? Dynamics of Crazy Used-Vehicle Prices Weakened, Retail Sales Fell, Supply Ballooned to 23% Above Normal by Wolf Richter • Jan 9, 2022 • 157 Comments Are these crazy used-vehicle prices finally triggering some resistance among buyers?
Markets Suddenly Hear Hawkish Fed: Stocks Sag, ARKK Plunges, Yields Jump, Cryptos (the New Hedge Against Inflation) Fail to Hedge, Plunge in Sync by Wolf Richter • Jan 5, 2022 • 203 Comments Quantitative Tightening coming sooner, faster, and bigger, according to the Fed’s minutes today.
What I See for 2022: Interest Rates, Mortgage Rates, Real Estate, Stocks & Other Assets as Central Banks Face Raging Inflation by Wolf Richter • Jan 2, 2022 • 258 Comments An extra-special cocktail of three powerful ingredients with no cherry on top awaits us in 2022.
Oops, Americans’ Big Pay Increases Got Run Over by Even Bigger Price Increases by Wolf Richter • Dec 23, 2021 • 211 Comments Thank you, hallelujah, for the extra money, finally. But where did it go?
Even Fed’s Lowest Lowball Inflation Measure Spikes Relentlessly: Parallel Isn’t 1982, but 1974, When Powell was in College by Wolf Richter • Dec 23, 2021 • 172 Comments But even the comparison to 1974 fails because back then, the Fed had already pushed short-term rates to 9%. Today: most reckless Fed ever.
End of Easy Money: Global Tightening in Full Swing, While the Fed Promises to Wake Up in Time Next Year by Wolf Richter • Dec 22, 2021 • 213 Comments Central banks jacked up rates to catch up with run-away inflation, but most fell further behind; only Russia caught up. The Fed didn’t even try.
Powell: Everything’s Moving Much Faster, incl. End of QE, Balance Sheet Reduction, Rate Hikes by Wolf Richter • Dec 15, 2021 • 297 Comments Inflation now a “big threat.” After downplaying inflation all year, the Fed is starting to get serious.
What Needs to Happen to Get this Inflation under Control? And How Would Markets React? by Wolf Richter • Dec 15, 2021 • 168 Comments My conversation with Adam Taggart.