Six-Month Treasury Yield Begins to Price in One More Rate Hike by Wolf Richter • May 20, 2023 • 130 Comments Either mid-June or possibly in July.
Despite Fed Tightening and Bank Collapses, It’s Still an Astoundingly Loose Financial Situation in La-La-Land by Wolf Richter • May 13, 2023 • 207 Comments After years of money printing and pandemic stimulus, it’s hard to wring all this liquidity out of the financial system?
The Fed’s Interest Rates Are still Fueling Inflation rather than Dousing it, and People Getting Used to this Inflation by Wolf Richter • May 11, 2023 • 222 Comments Turned upside-down since late 2008 with QE and interest rate repression, it still hasn’t been turned right-side up.
Fed’s Balance Sheet Plunges by $230 Billion in 6 Weeks, Biggest such Plunge in 14 Years by Wolf Richter • May 4, 2023 • 103 Comments Massive gyrations on the balance sheet after FDIC’s take-down of First Republic, sale of its assets to JP Morgan, and FDIC’s loan to JPM.
Powell Swats Down Rate Cut in 2023, Purposefully Leaves in Doubt a “Pause” for June Meeting by Wolf Richter • May 3, 2023 • 132 Comments “We’re going to be looking at those factors to determine whether there is more to do.”
Fed Hikes by 25 Basis Points, to 5.25% Top of Range. Says, “Extent to which Additional Policy Firming May be Appropriate,” instead of “Pause.” QT Continues by Wolf Richter • May 3, 2023 • 183 Comments The rate is now where it last was during the 14-month-long pause from June 2006 to August 2007.
Fed’s Balance Sheet Plunges $171 Billion in Five Weeks since Peak Bank Bailout as QT Continues and Liquidity Support Cools by Wolf Richter • Apr 27, 2023 • 156 Comments First Republic, is this you?
But What If We Don’t Get a Recession in 2023? That Would Be a Bummer for Wall Street by Wolf Richter • Apr 19, 2023 • 229 Comments Just a slower-growth muddle-through economy that adjusts to higher rates and sticky inflation.
What Would Happen if the Fed Caves to 4%-5% Core PCE Inflation, Gives up on 2%, as some Folks are Clamoring For? by Wolf Richter • Apr 16, 2023 • 349 Comments The economy would muddle through, but in the markets, all heck would break loose. Here’s why.
Fed’s Balance Sheet Plunges by $101 Billion in Two Weeks, as QT Continues and Bank Liquidity Support Begins to Unwind by Wolf Richter • Apr 6, 2023 • 114 Comments The dream of a return to QE was fun while it lasted.
