Fed’s Operating Losses Declined to $19 Billion in 2025, “Unrealized Losses” Declined to $844 Billion by Wolf Richter • Mar 25, 2026 • 36 Comments QE hangover a little less atrocious after years of QT and lower interest rates.
$5+ Diesel Could Unleash Inflationary Mindset the Fed Better Not “Look Through.” Inflation Was already Hot before Iran War by Wolf Richter • Mar 24, 2026 • 118 Comments When this inflationary mindset takes off, inflation becomes like a runaway train.
2-Year, 3-Year Treasury Yields Spike, Flip to Rate Hike. Yield Curve Uninverts. Government Sold $606 Billion of Treasury Securities this Week as the Borrowing Must Go On by Wolf Richter • Mar 21, 2026 • 94 Comments Whiff of turmoil in the bond market as inflation fears moved to the front and center.
Fed Holds Rates, now with Only 1 Dissenter, Sees Accelerating Inflation & GDP Growth by Wolf Richter • Mar 18, 2026 • 79 Comments Dot Plot projections still point at 1 rate cut in 2026. Powell: “If we don’t see that progress [on inflation], then you won’t see that rate cut.”
Update on the Fed’s Balance Sheet and its Reserve Management Purchases by Wolf Richter • Mar 5, 2026 • 24 Comments Adding T-bills, shedding MBS, Treasury note & bond balances on ice, SRF unused.
Markets’ Reaction to Warsh: Silver Collapses, Gold Plunges, Dollar Jumps, Treasuries Yawn, Stocks Drop, already Battered Cryptos Sink by Wolf Richter • Jan 30, 2026 • 217 Comments Pulling the rug out from under the “debasement trade.”
Fed Refuses to Cut, Shifts Hawkish in the Statement, with Two Dissenters by Wolf Richter • Jan 28, 2026 • 146 Comments “Everything comes in suggesting that this year starts off on a solid footing for growth”: Powell in the press conference.
Justice Department Subpoenas the Fed, Threatens Powell with Criminal Indictment. Powell Comes out Swinging. Stock Futures Tank by Wolf Richter • Jan 12, 2026 • 198 Comments Trump claims he didn’t know anything about it.
Fed Balance Sheet Drops by $67 Billion for the Week by Wolf Richter • Jan 8, 2026 • 45 Comments Standing Repo Facility -$75 billion to zero, Reserve Management Purchases +$8 billion: The year-end liquidity shifts have settled down.
Fed’s Standing Repo Facility (SRF) Drops to Zero, from $75 billion on the Last Balance Sheet as Yearend Liquidity Turmoil Dissolves by Wolf Richter • Jan 5, 2026 • 26 Comments The Fed’s weekly balance sheet on Thursday will show a substantial drop in total assets.