Our Drunken Sailors Splurge in Q3, Phenomenally so on Durable Goods, Drive GDP Growth. But Debt-to-GDP Ratio Worsens by Wolf Richter • Oct 30, 2024 • 120 Comments Jump in government spending also boosted GDP growth. But surging Imports, falling residential fixed investments, and inventories dragged.
What If There’s No Landing at all, But Flight at Higher Speed and Altitude than Normal, with Higher and Rising Inflation? by Wolf Richter • Oct 13, 2024 • 194 Comments That scenario is re-emerging as a real possibility in recent economic data.
Recession Not Yet: Retail Sales Help Push Up Atlanta Fed GDPNow to +3.0% for Q3 GDP by Wolf Richter • Sep 17, 2024 • 182 Comments As retail sales rose despite dropping prices of goods, inflation-adjusted retail sales – adjusted for this deflation in goods – rose even faster: hence the jump in GDPNow.
Economy Re-Accelerates in Q2. Our Drunken Sailors Splurge on Durable Goods, Investment Jumps, Federal Gov Undoes Blip by Wolf Richter • Jul 25, 2024 • 67 Comments Our Drunken Sailors are back at it, but in moderation, so to speak, their feathers largely unruffled by interest rates.
Our Drunken Sailors Splurge on Services, Fixed Investment Surges. But Much-Worse Imports Drag Bigly on GDP. And there’s a Blip in Government Spending by Wolf Richter • Apr 25, 2024 • 113 Comments Re-accelerating inflation in Q1 hit “real” GDP growth. “Current-dollar” GDP growth only a hair slower than in Q4.
How the Huge Wave of Immigrants into the US in 2022 and 2023 Impacts the Employment Data of the BLS Household Survey by Wolf Richter • Apr 3, 2024 • 112 Comments The BLS uses the Census Bureau’s understated population estimates that ignore the surge of immigrants. But the CBO’s estimates pick them up.
The Year of the Recession that Didn’t Come: Our Drunken Sailors Partied & Spent, GDP Jumped by Wolf Richter • Jan 25, 2024 • 100 Comments All major categories of spending and investment pulled in the same direction.
“Leading Economic Index” Predicts Recession for Early 2024, after Having Predicted a Recession for Late 2022, Early 2023, Mid-2023, and Late 2023 by Wolf Richter • Nov 20, 2023 • 157 Comments And there’s Still No Recession!
U.S. Factory Construction in a Historic Spike, after Years of Going Nowhere (Amazing, but Can Something Like this Last?) by Wolf Richter • Nov 4, 2023 • 128 Comments And the factory construction announcements continue.
Our Drunken Sailors – Consumers, Governments, Businesses – Have Blast, GDP Spikes in Q3, Powell Seen Tearing out his Hair by Wolf Richter • Oct 26, 2023 • 189 Comments The much-awaited and hoped-for slowdown in the second half turned into a drunken party in Q3.
