Tesla Model Y Now Just a Hair from #1 Bestselling Model in the US, Toyota RAV4. Former #1 Ford F-150 is #3. Stellantis Plunges off Greed Cliff. EV Share Rises to 9.0%

Rankings of top models & automakers by registrations in the US.

By Wolf Richter for WOLF STREET.

The thing about Ford pickup trucks is that they used to be the #1 bestseller of all models in the US much of the time. Other full-size trucks were near the top too and made it to #1 from time to time because the US is where full-size pickups are bestsellers.

Pickups these days come with big-fat prices for buyers, and with big-fat profit margins for automakers and dealers. Buyers didn’t mind paying out of their nose for big equipment – but that may be changing now. Fancy pickups – high-powered 4-door 4×4 fully loaded trucks – can cost over $100,000. And the Ford F-150 often ranked at the top and did so again last year.

But that has changed in 2024. The F-150 (both ICE and EV models combined) dropped to #3, actually to #4 in Q1 and picked up some share to end up in the #3 spot for the first half, with a share of 2.7%, behind the Toyota RAV4 (2.8%) and the Tesla Model Y (2.8%), based on registrations, reported by Experian yesterday.

The Chevrolet Silverado 1500’s share rose to 2.5% and it moved up to #5. The GMC Sierra 1500 had a share of 1.4%.

Stellantis has a huge problem. The Ram 1500 – there’s a glut of them now clogging up dealer lots and overflow lots – dropped off Experian’s list of the 20 bestselling models for the first half, from #10 in Q1. Overall, Stellantis dropped to #6 in the first half, now surpassed by Honda and Hyundai-Kia.

The top 5 Bestselling models in the US, according to Experian’s report on registrations (a registration occurs when the new vehicle that was sold to an end user is registered at the DMV to obtain the title):

  • #1 Toyota RAV4: share in the first half dropped to 2.8%, from 3.2% in Q1, just a hair ahead of Tesla’s Model Y.
  • #2 Tesla Model Y: share rose to 2.8%, its highest share ever (up from 2.6% in Q1), a hair away from being the #1 bestselling model in the US.
  • #3 Ford F-150: re-gained share to 2.7%, after having dropped to #4 in Q1 with a share of 2.4%. In Q3 2023, it was still #1, ahead of the Model Y (2.5%), but it’s share had already dropped to 3.0%.
  • #4 Honda CR-V: maintained its share of 2.5%, coming in head-to-head with the next pickup in line, the Chevrolet Silverado 1500.
  • #5 Chevrolet Silverado 1500: regained share, from the drop-off in prior quarters, and at 2.5%, was back where it had been in Q1 2023

The Big Three US automakers:

  • GM (Chevrolet, Buick, Cadillac, and GMC) remained #1 with a share of 17.0% (up from 15.7% in Q1).
  • Ford (Ford, Lincoln) remained #3 but lost share, at 12.4% (from 13.0% in Q1).
  • Tesla became #8 in 2023, and has stayed there in 2024. Its share rose to 4.1% (from 3.5% in Q1).

The big foreign automakers:

The “foreign automakers” here manufacture most of the vehicles they sell in the US either in the US or in Mexico. Honda’s models have for years ranked with Teslas at the top in terms of US content. Toyota makes a number of its vehicles in the US, including its full-size pickup (made in Texas). The Camry also ranks near the top in terms of US-content. So “foreign” is not about where vehicles are manufactured, but about the name plates on the vehicles.

  • Toyota (Toyota, Lexus) remained #2, well ahead of Ford.
  • Hyundai-Kia became the #4 automaker in 2023 and stayed there this year, up from #5 in 2021 and 2022 and #6 in 2020. It’s share reached 10.8% in the second half.
  • Honda regained its #5 spot, after having lost it during the period of shortages.
  • Stellantis, a European auto-conglomerate formerly known as Peugeot (PSA), acquired FCA – and thereby Ram, Jeep, Dodge, and Chrysler. In the first half, Stellantis got booted down to #6, from #5 in Q1. Its share dropped to 8.3%, from 9.0% in Q1, and from 9.9% in Q3 2023. More on its dealer revolt in a moment
  • Nissan remained #7.
Share Registrations by Automaker 2024 first half
1 GM 17.0%
2 Toyota 15.4%
3 Ford 12.4%
4 Hyundai-Kia 10.8%
5 Honda 8.7%
6 Stellantis 8.3%
7 Nissan 6.5%
8 Tesla 4.1%
9 Subaru 4.1%
10 VW 3.6%
11 Mazda 2.6%
12 BMW 2.3%
13 Daimler 1.8%
14 Geely (Volvo) 0.8%
15 Tata 0.6%

EV market share grew to a record 9.0% in Q2 (April-June), up from 8.1% a year ago. This category covers battery-electric vehicles only and does not include hybrids and plug-in hybrids. And they continue to eat market share from ICE vehicles, despite the ridiculous clickbait media coverage of declining demand for EVs.



A special word of love for Stellantis.

Jeep and Ram dealers in the US are in revolt against Stellantis management that has prioritized high prices and high corporate profit margins – a nasty strategy during the pandemic and shortages – to cater to Wall Street. That strategy worked for a while. And then it didn’t. The market share losses have caused its shares [STLA] to plunge by nearly 50% since their Wall Street benighted peak in March. Greed comes home to roost.

So in a letter sent to Stellantis CEO Carlos Tavares, a Jeep and Ram dealer advisory group last week raged about top management’s “disastrous choices” and “reckless short-term decision-making to secure record profits” that caused prices to be too high, which then caused the sales decline, the loss in market share, and the glut of vehicles on dealer lots. The letter was viewed by media outlets, including the WSJ.

The dealers accused the company of prioritizing high prices and high profit margins, and giving up sales and market share. They called on the CEO to spend more on promotions and incentives to clear out the glut of vehicles on their lots.

“Your own distribution network, your dealer body, has been left in an anemic and diminished state,” the letter said.

This letter came after months of complaints by dealers – that kept reaching the media – that the company needed to cut prices and increase discounts and incentives, that prices were too high and weren’t competitive, and that they were losing sales because of them, and that they were drowning in a glut of trucks that were getting old and stale on their lots.

That said… Ram and Jeep dealers were among the worst slapping huge and obnoxious addendum stickers on the MSRPs of their trucks during the shortages, and even after the shortages had started to fade, and we hope that potential customers who saw that and walked away in disgust, and those customers that were dumb enough to pay for those addendum stickers, will never-ever forget it and will never-ever set foot in that dealership. And that’s another side of the problem, but Ram dealers brought it upon themselves. They’d violated the old rule in the car business: You can milk a cow many times, but you can bleed it only once.

Enjoy reading WOLF STREET and want to support it? You can donate. I appreciate it immensely. Click on the beer and iced-tea mug to find out how:

Would you like to be notified via email when WOLF STREET publishes a new article? Sign up here.



  50 comments for “Tesla Model Y Now Just a Hair from #1 Bestselling Model in the US, Toyota RAV4. Former #1 Ford F-150 is #3. Stellantis Plunges off Greed Cliff. EV Share Rises to 9.0%

  1. Dudu says:

    Dealers are right.

    Jeep prices are in BMW, MB, Audi level for something that they cannot compete.

    Why pay $65k for a Jeep GrandCherokee when you can get so many other luxury brand cars.

    • Louie says:

      JEEPS:
      If you have a RAV-4, you can remove a spark plug so it runs a little rough, then poke a tiny hole in the oil pan so you have a constant oil leak on the garage floor, and you will feel like a Jeep owner without actually suffering from being a Jeep owner.

      • Seba says:

        😆.. cruel but true, my buddy loved his Cherokee, but was spending more time at the mechanic than enjoying it in the end, traded in for a Mazda and although he’s not in love he has time to do stuff since it never breaks lol

    • Warren G. Harding says:

      The 2024 Jeep Grand Wagoneers MSRP is $90k and they go up to $116k!

  2. Steve B says:

    I like Teslas and I like EVs. That being said, I do think it’s unfair, and part of the reason that the Model Y is at 2.8%, is that taxpayers are handing $7,500 to each buyer, and that Tesla is exempt from the ridiculous franchise laws many states have. I have talked to three separate people, anecdotal of course, that said that one of the big draws was ordering online and not having to deal with scummy salespeople at dealerships.

    All manufacturers should be allowed to sell this way.

    • Wolf Richter says:

      “All manufacturers should be allowed to sell this way.”

      Agreed. But dealers are independent businesses, some are publicly traded, others are family-owned, and abandoning the protection granted to them by the state franchise laws would kill their businesses as manufacturers would sell new vehicles around the backs. They have powerful lobbies at the state and federal levels to protect the state franchise laws.

  3. Ol'B says:

    The US “truck culture” is probably ending due to the high prices of the trucks themselves, the high price of gas, and the extremely high price of auto insurance. That $86,000 Ram crew cab 4×4 Hemi deluxe ST whatever is a $1000 payment, $700 in gas, and maybe $250 a month in insurance. The Camry hybrid four door that comes in at $500/200/120 starts to look a lot better. “But sometimes I need to help my friends move, or pick up a new flat-panel at Best Buy”.

    • Digger Dave says:

      Nope. If prices were going to do that, they would have already. Americans are bad consumers when it comes to getting what suits them best, but are real good at staying in debt and on budget forever. And the truck cult is too real – too many people insist that they need these for whatever reason – freedom, safety, towing recreational vehicles, carrying something once per year in the bed, or just general comfort – i.e. they’re really fat and need something big. I’m in the camp that anything not 3/4 ton and up is not a truck, at least not for real work purposes. They’re fancy passenger vehicles with a bed. The nonsensical notion that the Sierra and Silverado are different products despite being identical in every way except for badging and minor differences in appearances is something that makes no sense – you’d think GM would be proud to call BS on Ford’s continual claim that the F150 is the best selling pickup, but the vehicle industry generally makes no sense other than it is a pursuit of profit by conservative executives that are forced to actually make something that’s necessary and please Wall Street at the same time. Gas prices would have to double and the unemployment rate would have to triple to break the truck cult.

      • Warren G. Harding says:

        Don’t you just hate it when people buy stuff you don’t think they should be buying?

        • ApartmentInvestor says:

          @Warren G. Harding it seems like every year for the past 50 years the percentage of people (on BOTH the right and left) that care what other people are buying is increasing (with people on the fringes certain that one more electric car will crash the power grid or one more F150 means climate doom…

        • Bobber says:

          I saw three Cybertrucks bunched up at a stoplight yesterday. It’s more popular than I imagined it would be in Seattle.

          One of them had imperfections in the huge flat body panels, and it stuck out like a sore thumb. The same truck also had rust on the wheel hubs. I was very surprised to see the rust on a “premium” vehicle like that.

          When people pay $100k for that sort of thing, it takes pricing pressure off everything I want to buy, so I hope they keep buying them.

        • Wolf Richter says:

          Bobber

          So they figured this out: it’s not the steel on the truck that is rusting. It’s iron particles (from railroad crossings, metal-working sites, etc.) that were airborne and attached to the special unpainted steel of the truck and then rust. You can clean them off with household cleaners. But it’s a lot of work, and so people don’t do it unless they go out on a date.

          I also love the fingerprints on the doors where you’d normally expect doorhandles. You can also clean those off. I never once before thought about having to clean fingerprints off the door of a vehicle.

          I think the trucks will be valued for the individual patina they acquire over the years, like a copper roof.

          The truck kind of grows on you, and I like it better the more I look at it (the boss hates it, so no Cybertruck in our house, she says they look like the Soviet things that rolled into Prague in 1968, before she was even born, LOL).

          I see quite a few of the trucks. They’re selling — though the plant still has huge production ramp-up problems.

        • Beer Me Up says:

          Agree! If I want a truck, I will get a truck and I will drive it. Some people just got too much free time.

          It is my money, if I want to buy a truck and not use it per some rando’s standards of “what a truck should be used for” then… Too bad. I’m sorry my likes and dislikes offend you? Ha!

    • Ponzi says:

      I agree. As urbanization increases, trucks will be more and more limited to commercial use.

      I think both RAV4 and Model Y (after tax rebate) have good performance/price ratio. Y is certainly cooler, but charging is still a problem for EVs (3 minutes vs 30 minutes). But since most families have at least two cars, RAV4 and Model Y make a good combination I think: Long distance travels with RAV4, urban commutes with Model Y.

      • vvp says:

        Just get one of the Hyundai or KIA 800 volt vehicles. The charging speed is so radically faster than anybody is willing to admit because most vehicles are still 400 volts.

    • Gattopardo says:

      “The US “truck culture” is probably ending due …..the high price of gas…”

      High? You have to be kidding. Gas is very cheap. Adjusted for inflation, it’s really really cheap. And compared to Europe, it’s almost free!

      • Escierto says:

        I wondered when someone was going to point out the complete idiocy of that remark about high gas prices.

    • Seba says:

      Truck people love trucks, some of my friends are towing trailers for family camping and stuff or carrying dirtbikes etc. which makes sense.. either way, I’m usually the “friend that needs help moving”, but if they didn’t have those trucks I’d just rent a uhaul or whatever it’s just cheaper to offer them a flat of beer lol. Anyway, people should buy whatever they want I don’t care, I only drive trucks at work, in my personal life I spend a bit extra to get a bit more performance, so I’m not the most reasonable consumer either.

  4. ChS says:

    I saw a Tesla with an “Elon Sucks” sticker on it. I guess he hasn’t undercut sales too much…

    • Larry says:

      Elon has cut sales plenty. This sales data is lagging and probably a little misleading in terms of Teslas sales velocity.

      • Wolf Richter says:

        Nope, the sales data is not lagging, registrations through Q2, same as the link you posted. And the only thing that is misleading is your brain.

        But here we’re talking about registrations across the entire US, not just Silicon Valley or California. DUH. Your link referred to California registrations.

        Yes, Musk did have an impact in California, it seems. So to see what happened in California, you go to my article on EV registrations in Q2, posted on July 19:
        https://wolfstreet.com/2024/07/19/non-tesla-ev-sales-45-yoy-in-california-tesla-24-people-have-had-it-with-musks-bullshit-about-california-and-san-francisco/

        “New vehicle sales in Q2 as measured by registrations, released by the California auto dealer association CNCDA today:

        Teslas -24% year-over-year, to 52,211 vehicles.
        Non-Tesla EVs: +45% year-over-year, to 49,232 vehicles.

        • Next Shoe To Drop says:

          One could wonder if he didn’t present a more Liberal public persona in order to spur sales in CA when Tesla was first ramping up sales. Then once that market was saturated he seemingky switched right over a more Conservative persona to then tap into the non-CA buyers everywhere else. Musk playing 4D chess, perhaps?

        • Escierto says:

          Next shoe, the conservatives may cheer Musk’s brain dead remarks but they don’t buy his vehicles. They hate EVs with a passion! 4D chess? Yeah they used to say the same thing about another clueless idiot!

  5. 91B20 1stCav (AUS) says:

    Wolf – sounds like Ford and Stellantis management are rasslin’ over ‘most incompetent’ rights, but the RAM/Dodge dealer-component are leading Ford’s for that podium position? (…find myself also wondering at the ‘Mopar Muscle’-type advertising $ being expended on the Hornet in the wake of the failure of the nuevo-Dart…).

    may we all find a better day.

  6. BigBird says:

    Tesla at 4.1% and EVs total at 9.0% mean that Tesla is below 50% EV share in the US. If it holds for the year, that would be a first. In Europe they are at 12% EV share, and in China below 10%. Market cap is still at absurd levels. But robotaxis, or whatever…

    • Wolf Richter says:

      Yes, that’s the trend. There are now lots of EV models on the market by new automakers and by the legacy automakers. Even Toyota is finally starting to dabble in them.

    • Max Power says:

      Yep and next year Hyundai/Kia starts making EVs in the US, making them eligible for the tax credit (initially only half credit until they get the battery part of the factory up and running later in the year). That will further eat into other automakers’ EV share.

  7. Seba says:

    9% EV share of all sales in a country like the US is actually very impressive, with all the smear jobs in the media I was starting to doubt what I believed. I guess it’s really time to put legacy media to bed, it’s just not working anymore in the age of the internet.

    Having said that I don’t know if my next car will be an EV, I’m a slow adopter, and I really like my current ICE vehicle. But if the trend continues I’ll be looking at jobs in utility companies, could be some opportunities there 😆

  8. MitchV says:

    Foreign nameplate vehicles may be assembled in the US, but where do the parts come from? Where are all the engineers that do the designs. Where are the head office executive jobs?

    • Wolf Richter says:

      As I pointed out in the article, that’s why the measure of “US content” is important. Ford and GM rank very low, but Tesla, Honda, Toyota, VW rank highest.

    • OH-IO says:

      It’s not just where the content comes from, at least for Honda – Engineering, R&D for US models mostly happens in Marysville OH. Assembly is right next door for several models. Most of their suppliers are in the area or next state over. True, the parent company of American Honda Motor Co. is Japanese but you are free to buy their stock on the US exchanges. I gave up on log ago in thinking that the BIG 3 were somehow more domestic than the “foreign” brands.

    • Buffalo Billion says:

      Yes, those Buicks from S. Korea and China are really chuck full of parts from the States. As Wolf said- they are more American made than many domestic manufacturers.

      I’ve bought Honda and Toyota for decades now and all were among the most ‘American’ made vehicles available. Tired of hearing the union slogan of ‘better to buy a foreign made GM than an American made Toyota. What’s better is the one that employs people here, not pad domestic executives bonuses.

  9. Wes says:

    The EV market share at 9% and Tesla Model Y number 2? Never would have believed it 5 years ago. A lot of deceptive media about the EV market going on today.

    Thanks for posting.

  10. Home toad says:

    Electric car sales “worldwide” account for 18% of car sales in 2023, last year it was 14%, 5 years prior it was 2%. So I imagine for this year 2024, it will be well over 20% and by 2030 with more charging stations and better battery technology it could be close to or above 40% worldwide… picking up steam it appears. Even Santa will be giving up the reindeer for an electric sled…
    ( This is what Google says) ???

    Soon the telephone pole, the gas stations and the stock market will relics of the past.

  11. Jim Basham says:

    “Stellantis Plunges off Greed Cliff. ” never truer words spoken….spot on!!!!

    • ApartmentInvestor says:

      @Jim Basham am I the only one who is ready to hear “Ask your doctor if Stallantis is right for you” after hearing the made up name for the new Euro owned Chrysler Corp.

      • Wolf Richter says:

        I went to my specialty beer store and asked for a sixpack of Stellantis. That’s how I dealt with the name change. I mean, what else am I — who lived in Belgium for years — to do when something like this happens?

  12. Glen says:

    My friends just bought the Nissan Ariya EV and they really like it. Slightly higher price point but a quality vehicle. Will be interesting to see who in the long run the winners and losers will be in this space. I drive my ICE RAV4 so little that no reason to consider a change but 5 years from now when technology is several generations further along and perhaps reliable charging for more than commute I might consider.

    • Max Power says:

      I really like the Ariya’s interior. I think it is one of the best among EVs. It’s not too busy but at the same time not as spartan as Tesla’s interiors.

  13. Russell says:

    Tesla’s margins have dropped sharply so they are cutting prices to attain their higher unit sales. Not sure how those price declines compare to the other major manufacturers.

  14. Thiefs says:

    I really need a new car but decided to keep my 16 yo econo-car on the road for a little while longer.

    I saved and saved for a new car and then covid hit. Dealers all of a sudden wanted $20K plus MSRP to get the privilege to buy from them. So I said no on principle and decided to wait them out.

    I wish the days of paying $500 below invoice and walking out were still a thing.

  15. SoCalBeachDude says:

    1:04 PM 9/20/2024

    Dow 42,063.36 38.17 0.09%
    S&P 500 5,702.55 -11.09 -0.19%
    Nasdaq 17,948.32 -65.66 -0.36%
    VIX 16.11 -0.22 -1.35%
    Gold 2,646.60 32.00 1.22%
    Oil 71.77 -0.18 -0.25%

  16. sufferinsucatash says:

    Toyota Corolla holding its own still!

  17. ApartmentInvestor says:

    @sufferinsucatash last time I was at the Toyoata dealer they had a $50K “Corolla” (a GR Model with the 300hp 3cyl). I’m sure the Carolla GR is a fun to drive dependable car (with more power than the 80’s 911 Turbo from half the cylinders) but I’m pretty sure you would get more for your money (and have better resale value) buying a used M3 or 911 (that have both had over 300hp for ~20 years).

  18. andy says:

    Saw in SF a week ago out of 7 cars street-parked in a row 6 were Teslas.

  19. Michael Engel says:

    1) Inventory is normal, but new car prices are abnormal. Dealers sales are up Qt2/Qt1, but still below the peak. Tesla is down from 70K to 55K cars. GM is #1, Toyota is #2, Ford is #3 and Kia/Hyundai is #4. Tesla is #8, rising from 3.5% to 4.1%.
    2) Every year recycled Houses for sales “Days on the Market” cave in May/June, before rising at the end of the year. Supply peak in Sept/Oct.
    3) Since Q2 2022 CL kept falling in rolling hills, but CL will not drop to the bottom of the ocean. Since Q2 2022 1W XLE is rising in an Ending
    Diagonal Triangle, feasting on DUCs. Those DUCs/ DUCs might not last.
    4) In Q2 2025 the Fed might cut rates buy 2% to ease gov debt payments, while the sticky CPI, ex energy and food, is rising. Higher tax collection
    will fill the gov coffer…unless the Ending Diagonal Triangle send us to recession. XLE might break out above 2014 peak, starting a new bubble.

  20. Max Power says:

    Totoya is selling them as quickly as they can make them. Their dealer inventory is only 35 days which is less than half the industry average (and Lexus division is even crazier at 30 days). I wonder how many more vehicles they could sell if their dealers had more product on the lot.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *