Japanese banks, which should know a thing or two about banking crises, have once again clawed their way to the top of the heap of overseas lenders. And with their knack for impeccable timing, they’ve once again become the largest force in emerging market economies – just as financial turmoil there is coming to a boil.
Monthly Archives: September 2013
US Stocks Blind To Crashing Earnings Estimates (For Now)
by Wolf Richter • • Comments Off on US Stocks Blind To Crashing Earnings Estimates (For Now)
Corporate revenues have been crummy all year, and earnings estimates for Q3 have come crashing down. A year ago, they were still expected to grow 15.9%, a sign of blind optimism. By Friday, they’d plunged to 4.7%. During that time, the S&P 500 soared 16.8% and the NASDAQ 19.6%. The Fed’s greatest accomplishment. But there is a corollary.
David Stockman – Bernanke’s (Untough) Love Child: The $27 Billion Affair At The Hilton
by David Stockman • • Comments Off on David Stockman – Bernanke’s (Untough) Love Child: The $27 Billion Affair At The Hilton
The idea that LBOs carry massive debt that is never paid down, leaving behind “financial zombies on the ragged edge of insolvency,” defies historical principles of LBOs, writes David Stockman. Blackstone’s LBO of Hilton Hotels is one of these “free market defying zombies” – “one global business slump away from bankruptcy.” And it just filed for an IPO.
“A difficult second half”: Fabulous Excuses By Clothing Retailers As Sales Fall Apart
by Wolf Richter • • Comments Off on “A difficult second half”: Fabulous Excuses By Clothing Retailers As Sales Fall Apart
Men’s Warehouse joined the crowd of revenue-challenged retailers when it reported results and cut guidance. Revenue fell, profit plunged. As with its peers that had already reported, it’s not so much that sales were crummy – gosh, they were – but that the excuses they came up with to keep their stocks from crashing were even crummier.
BofA-Merrill: “When Excess Liquidity Is Removed, It Will Get ‘CRASHy’”
by Wolf Richter • • Comments Off on BofA-Merrill: “When Excess Liquidity Is Removed, It Will Get ‘CRASHy’”
With Q3 GDP growth tracking 1.6%, Wall Street strategists, whose bullishness has been deafening despite realities on the ground, are starting to hedge their bets with some unusually candid analyses. Seeing overvalued assets everywhere, they’re struggling to point at solutions, other than a crash. And they predict a sour future for stocks and bonds.
Housing Bubble In Full Bloom, Zany Price Increases, And Now A Sudden Slowdown
by Wolf Richter • • Comments Off on Housing Bubble In Full Bloom, Zany Price Increases, And Now A Sudden Slowdown
Dizzying home-price increases fused with pandemic hype and trillions from the Fed into a self-propagating force. It’s now accepted that housing will recover all the way to where it was in 2006, a sign the Fed has done its job, that it cured the ill that has dogged this economy for so long. Prices of 2006 are no longer “the peak of the housing bubble” but a goal.
Debt Zombie Verizon
by Wolf Richter • • Comments Off on Debt Zombie Verizon
Verizon will unleash a tsunami of money on Wall Street. To pay for its $130 billion acquisition of Vodafone’s share of Verizon Wireless, it will print $60 billion of its own inflated stock. It will borrow the rest – much of it via the largest bond sale in history, though it’s drowning in debt. Now that sale is slamming the already deflating bond bubble.
Three years in the hoosegow: China Tightens Stranglehold On “New Media”
by Wolf Richter • • Comments Off on Three years in the hoosegow: China Tightens Stranglehold On “New Media”
“Seize the ground of new media,” Chinese President Xi Jinping said elegantly when he told state-owned media to get on the ball. So, effective today, the next chapter in seizing the ground of “new media” is this: people found by the Chinese judicial machinery to have posted libelous language online can expect three years in the hoosegow. Conditions apply.
Japan’s Frantic Redo Of An Artificial Boom Followed By A Bust
by Wolf Richter • • Comments Off on Japan’s Frantic Redo Of An Artificial Boom Followed By A Bust
So the Japanese economy is booming. GDP growth in the April-June quarter was revised up to 3.8%, driven by higher big-ticket spending and government outlays. The January-March quarter was revised up to 4.1%. Three quarters in a row of growth, fed by something we’ve seen before. In 1996. And it ended in tears.
David Stockman: The Debt Zombies Kept On Coming
by David Stockman • • Comments Off on David Stockman: The Debt Zombies Kept On Coming
The founders of the LBO industry – KKR, Blackstone, Apollo, TPG, and Bain Capital – are stuck in giant deals that have turned into debt zombies. The outbreak of mega-LBO mania during 2006–2007 reflected a financial market deformation that sowed recklessness across the entire private equity space. And the debt zombies are still out there.