After 2 Months of Relentless “Core CPI Has Peaked” in Euroland, Services CPI Spikes to Record, Core CPI Worsens by Wolf Richter • Jul 19, 2023 • 118 Comments All eyes are now on underlying inflation. Forget the collapsing energy prices that pushed down overall CPI.
Core Services CPI Cools to Still Red-Hot 6.2%, Core CPI to 4.8%. Plunge in Energy Prices Pulls Down Overall CPI to 3.0%. Food Prices Stabilize at Very High Levels by Wolf Richter • Jul 12, 2023 • 224 Comments We already know the factors that will make this much tougher going forward.
Fed’s Favored Inflation Index, “Core PCE,” Stuck near 4.6% for Sixth Month, “Core Services” Stuck Near 38-Year High of 5.4% by Wolf Richter • Jun 30, 2023 • 130 Comments Month-to-month, durable goods prices rose again, on price spike of motor vehicles, after steep drops; services might be cooling a little. Energy plunged.
Core CPI in Japan Worst since 1981. Food Inflation Worst since 1976. But Energy Prices Plunge by Wolf Richter • Jun 23, 2023 • 86 Comments BOJ’s Ueda promises to fuel inflation further, hopes for wage growth. Strategy: let raging inflation bring Japan’s debt-to-GDP ratio back in line.
Inflation Shocker in the UK: Core CPI Spikes to 30-Year High, Driven by Spike in Services, even as Motor Fuel Prices Plunge by Wolf Richter • Jun 21, 2023 • 137 Comments Bond yields jump as they begin to price in more BOE rate hikes, and higher for longer than previously imagined.
Powell on the New Hawkishness in the Dot Plot and on Inflation: “We See that it Tells Us that We Need to Do More” by Wolf Richter • Jun 14, 2023 • 225 Comments Core inflation “has not really moved down. It has not reacted much to our rate hikes. We’re going to have to keep at it.”
For 7 Months, “Core” CPI Hasn’t Improved at All, Stuck at 2.5x Fed Target. Services CPI Accelerates, Rents Not Playing Along, Used Vehicle CPI Spikes. But Energy Plunged by Wolf Richter • Jun 13, 2023 • 140 Comments Powell has been talking about this. Energy cannot plunge forever.
Reserve Bank of Australia, First Central Bank to “Pause” then “Un-Pause,” Hikes Again, Warns of More Hikes. QT Continues by Wolf Richter • Jun 6, 2023 • 44 Comments Markets surprised by hike and hawkish tilt on fears about inflation expectations and surging labor costs without productivity gains.
Fed’s Favored Core PCE Price Index Re-Accelerates, Driven by Services, Motor Vehicles: Inflation Stuck on High, Shifts from Item to Item by Wolf Richter • May 26, 2023 • 132 Comments Not encouraging: core PCE price index refuses to come down, has moved sideways since July last year.
Free-Money Party for Corporate Profits Turns into Hangover amid Rising Costs and Pressured Revenues by Wolf Richter • May 25, 2023 • 115 Comments “We are entering an EBITDA recession”: S&P Global Ratings.
