Anything Unusual in the Drop of the 10-year Treasury Yield? Despite the Hype & Hoopla, it Hasn’t Done Anything Special by Wolf Richter • Nov 2, 2023 • 88 Comments Volatility. Powell mentioned it too. The 10-year yield is hugely volatile, and the drop over the past few days fits right in. Have a look.
Tsunami of Treasury Issuance Will Shift from Longer-Term Debt to Short-Term T-Bills & 2-Year Notes amid Intense Navel-Gazing about Spiking 10-Year Yield. by Wolf Richter • Nov 1, 2023 • 59 Comments The Spiking 10-Year Treasury Yields Apparently Rattled the Government’s Nerves.
Marketable US Treasury Debt to Explode by $2.85 Trillion in the 10 Months from End of Debt Ceiling to March 31, 2024 by Wolf Richter • Oct 30, 2023 • 159 Comments Including $1.56 trillion in Q4 2023 & Q1 2024. Government has gone nuts.
Spectacle Ensues after 10-Year Treasury Yield Pierces 5%: Huge Demand Piles in, Yield Plunges 19 Basis Points in Hours by Wolf Richter • Oct 23, 2023 • 119 Comments Yield fixes all demand problems. You just have to hit the right number, and the right number today was 5%.
Why Longer-Dated Treasury Yields Spiked. It’s Not Magic: Yield Solves All Demand Problems by Wolf Richter • Oct 20, 2023 • 254 Comments Tsunami of issuance meets Fed QT, Skittish Foreign Buyers, and US buyers demanding to be compensated for the risks of out-of-control deficits in an inflationary environment.
Congrats, America 🥂We Made it! Government Debt Spikes past $33 Trillion: +$1.6 Trillion since Debt Ceiling, +$2.2 Trillion from Year Ago by Wolf Richter • Sep 18, 2023 • 243 Comments Trillions whooshing by so fast they’re hard to see.
Curse of Easy Money: US Government Interest Payments v. Tax Receipts, Average Interest on Treasury Debt, & Debt to GDP by Wolf Richter • Aug 30, 2023 • 119 Comments Spiking Interest payments will hopefully, knock on wood, force the drunken sailors in Washington to go through detox.
Ten-Year Treasury Yield Hits 15-Year High, Market Wades out of Denial, Sees “Higher-for-Longer,” Tsunami of Issuance, QT by Wolf Richter • Aug 16, 2023 • 205 Comments “Higher for longer be damned”: consumers and businesses.
Here Comes the Tsunami of Longer-Term Treasury Notes & Bonds: Monthly Auction Sizes +60% by August Next Year by Wolf Richter • Aug 2, 2023 • 180 Comments Good Lordy.
Fitch Downgrades US Credit Rating on Fiscal Deterioration, Government Debt Burden, and Debt Ceiling Standoffs by Wolf Richter • Aug 1, 2023 • 155 Comments Second major US ratings agency to downgrade the US to ‘AA+’. The first ratings agency got whacked by the US government.
