Recklessly Ballooning US Government Debt Spikes by $519 Billion since Debt Ceiling, Expected to Hit $37.8 Trillion by Yearend. $722 Billion in Treasury Auctions this Week Alone by Wolf Richter • Jul 29, 2025 • 64 Comments A Mississippi River of debt issuance. But the Treasury buybacks are small.
Treasury Market Sees No Rate Cut by Sept., 30-Year Treasury Yield Near 5%: The Yield Curve and “Real” Mortgage Rates by Wolf Richter • Jul 25, 2025 • 107 Comments At the long end, the bond market is nervous.
The Foreign Investors Who Bought the Recklessly Ballooning US Debt: July 2025 Update by Wolf Richter • Jul 18, 2025 • 91 Comments US Treasury debt surged by $441 billion since the debt ceiling, to $36.7 trillion. Foreign demand for this stuff is an increasingly important issue.
30-Year Treasury Yield Jumps to 4.96% despite “Solid” Auction, Long End of Yield Curve Steepens, Mortgage-Rate Spread Historically Wide by Wolf Richter • Jul 12, 2025 • 169 Comments The bond market’s reaction to the inflationary environment, to fears of a lax Fed, and to a Mississippi River of new debt.
The (Declining) Status of the US Dollar as Global Reserve Currency: Central Banks Diversify into other Currencies & Gold by Wolf Richter • Jul 9, 2025 • 105 Comments There was an extra-special spectacle in Q1 among the Swiss franc, Australian dollar, British pound, and Japanese yen.
Tariff Cash Is Rolling In: June’s Record Take Spikes by $20.5 Billion Year-over-Year by Wolf Richter • Jul 1, 2025 • 73 Comments Businesses have been paying them out of their huge profits and have not been able to pass them on to consumers so far.
The Historically Wide Spread between the 10-Year Treasury Yield and Mortgage Rates Widened Again: Some Thoughts by Wolf Richter • Jun 28, 2025 • 137 Comments Mortgage rates, QT, yield spreads, inflation, and a bond market that is not to be trifled with.
Who Held or Bought the Huge US Government Debt even as the Fed Shed Treasury Securities in Q1? An Iffy Situation by Wolf Richter • Jun 20, 2025 • 41 Comments Here’s who dumped and who bought over the years through Q1.
Revenues from Tariffs Spiked to $23 Billion in May, up by 168% in 3 Months by Wolf Richter • Jun 2, 2025 • 88 Comments It’s not nothing: At this pace, tariffs would raise receipts from corporate taxes by 39%, but would make only a dent into the huge US deficit.
US Government Interest Payments to Tax Receipts, Average Interest Rate on the Debt, and Debt-to-GDP Ratio in Q1 2025 by Wolf Richter • May 29, 2025 • 93 Comments Update on an ugly situation.
