30-Year & 20-Year Treasury Yields Back over 5%, 10-Year over 4.5%, Yield Curve Steepens at Long End, Mortgage Rates Back over 7% by Wolf Richter • May 24, 2025 • 149 Comments Will the bond market eventually wake up and scare the bejesus out of Congress? Is it already rubbing its eyes?
Foreign Investors Loaded Up on Treasury Securities in March Despite all the Turmoil in the Media by Wolf Richter • May 17, 2025 • 72 Comments And in April, their purchases of long-term securities at Treasury auctions increased.
Moody’s Cuts US Government Credit Rating due to Deficits & Debt, Blames “Successive US Administrations and Congress” by Wolf Richter • May 16, 2025 • 164 Comments US government kisses its last triple-A credit rating goodbye. Downgrade to “junk” would have been more appropriate?
How the Debt Ceiling Is Now Pouring Liquidity into Financial Markets, only to Suck it Back Out Very Fast Later this Year by Wolf Richter • May 11, 2025 • 100 Comments Last time, $840 billion got sucked out in 5 months, all from excess cash in ON RRPs. But after $2.26 trillion of QT, ON RRPs are nearly gone.
10-year Treasury Yield Back at 4.39%, Yield Curve Steepens at Long End, Mortgage-Rate Spread Remains Historically Wide by Wolf Richter • May 9, 2025 • 73 Comments Despite the rumors during bond turmoil, foreigners kept buying Treasuries and the “basis trade” didn’t blow, but the “swap spread trade” made a mess.
Tariffs Start Washing into the Government Checking Account by Wolf Richter • May 2, 2025 • 164 Comments The cashflow of Customs and Excise Taxes has nearly doubled in two months.
10-Year Treasury Yield Re-Dips Below EFFR, Yield Curve Sags Deeply in the Middle, Dollar Bounces Back into 3-Year Range by Wolf Richter • Apr 26, 2025 • 96 Comments Turns out, demand from foreigners for Treasury securities at the auctions was just fine.
The Spread between 10-Year Treasury Yield & Mortgage Rates Is Historically Wide and Widened Further: Some Thoughts by Wolf Richter • Apr 18, 2025 • 152 Comments Mortgage rates are higher in relationship to the 10-year Treasury yield than they were most of the time over the past 50 years. There are reasons.
Foreign Investors Massively Bought US Treasury Securities in February: China, Japan, Canada, Euro Area, UK, Financial Centers, Taiwan, India, even Brazil by Wolf Richter • Apr 16, 2025 • 81 Comments Biggest increase since June 2021. And they mostly bought long-term Treasury debt. No major holder dumped.
10-Year Treasury Yield Snaps Back to February’s 4.5%, Yield Curve Re-Un-Inverts, Mortgage Rates Back at 7% by Wolf Richter • Apr 12, 2025 • 147 Comments The aggressive Bash-Down by the White House of long-term Treasury yields and the dollar since January worked. Until it didn’t.
