Treasury Yield Curve Un-Inversion Hits Milestone on Inflation Fears, Tsunami of Supply, QT. Mortgage Rates Near 7% by Wolf Richter • Oct 26, 2024 • 139 Comments The 10-year yield surged by 60 basis points in five weeks but may run out of steam by about right now.
Treasury Buybacks: Update on the Bond Market Bloodletting by Wolf Richter • Oct 25, 2024 • 62 Comments Among the jewels: Treasury Dept. paid 88 cents on the dollar to buy back 10-year Treasury notes sold at auction Aug. 2020 at a record-low yield of 0.677%.
Mortgage Rates Explode to 6.82%, 10-Year Treasury Yield Jumps to 4.20%, +55 Basis Points since Monster Rate Cut by Wolf Richter • Oct 21, 2024 • 175 Comments How the yield curve is un-inverting shocks real-estate folks who’d promised rate cuts would push down mortgage rates even further.
Which Foreign Countries Bought the Recklessly Ballooning US Debt: An Increasingly Crucial Question. Many Piled it up. Cleanest Dirty Shirt? by Wolf Richter • Oct 19, 2024 • 114 Comments Foreign investors had a big appetite all year for Treasury securities. But China lost interest, Japan struggled with the yen.
Bond Market Smells a Rat: On Eve of CPI Inflation Data, 10-Year Treasury Yield Jumps to 4.08%, +43 bps since Monster Rate Cut by Wolf Richter • Oct 9, 2024 • 135 Comments Fed is seen as deprioritizing inflation fight, while a tsunami of supply heads for markets.
Mortgage Rates Explode, 2-Year & 10-Year Treasury Yields Spike, Monster Rate-Cut Hopes Doused, Inflation Fears Resurface: Yield Curve Before & After the Rate Cut by Wolf Richter • Oct 5, 2024 • 138 Comments The yield curve moved further toward un-inversion, but not the way it was hoped.
Status of the US Dollar as Global Reserve Currency: Share Drops to Lowest since 1995. Central Banks Diversify to “Nontraditional” Currencies and Gold by Wolf Richter • Sep 28, 2024 • 146 Comments But China’s renminbi keeps losing ground.
Who Holds all these US Treasury Securities? Update on the Investors in the Ballooning US National Debt in Q2 by Wolf Richter • Sep 24, 2024 • 94 Comments As the Fed is unloading them, others are loading up.
Spiking Interest Payments on the Ballooning US Government Debt v. Tax Receipts, GDP, and Inflation: Q2 Update by Wolf Richter • Aug 29, 2024 • 91 Comments Burden of the national debt: The portion of tax receipts swallowed by interest payments.
Treasury Department Aggressively Pushes Down Long-Term Interest Rates via Shift to T-bill Issuance and Bond Buybacks by Wolf Richter • Aug 28, 2024 • 168 Comments But buybacks occur at huge losses for investors. Today it bought back a 1.25% 20-year bond for 66 cents on the dollar.
