Tariffs Start Washing into the Government Checking Account by Wolf Richter • May 2, 2025 • 136 Comments The cashflow of Customs and Excise Taxes has nearly doubled in two months.
10-Year Treasury Yield Re-Dips Below EFFR, Yield Curve Sags Deeply in the Middle, Dollar Bounces Back into 3-Year Range by Wolf Richter • Apr 26, 2025 • 96 Comments Turns out, demand from foreigners for Treasury securities at the auctions was just fine.
The Spread between 10-Year Treasury Yield & Mortgage Rates Is Historically Wide and Widened Further: Some Thoughts by Wolf Richter • Apr 18, 2025 • 152 Comments Mortgage rates are higher in relationship to the 10-year Treasury yield than they were most of the time over the past 50 years. There are reasons.
Foreign Investors Massively Bought US Treasury Securities in February: China, Japan, Canada, Euro Area, UK, Financial Centers, Taiwan, India, even Brazil by Wolf Richter • Apr 16, 2025 • 81 Comments Biggest increase since June 2021. And they mostly bought long-term Treasury debt. No major holder dumped.
10-Year Treasury Yield Snaps Back to February’s 4.5%, Yield Curve Re-Un-Inverts, Mortgage Rates Back at 7% by Wolf Richter • Apr 12, 2025 • 147 Comments The aggressive Bash-Down by the White House of long-term Treasury yields and the dollar since January worked. Until it didn’t.
OMG the Dollar Is Collapsing, or Whatever by Wolf Richter • Apr 11, 2025 • 154 Comments Despite the “Dollar’s Collapse,” the USD remains in its 3-year range and a lot higher than it was before.
10-Year Treasury Yield Snaps Back Brutally, Stocks Go Crazy, S&P 500 Spikes 8.5% then Plunges Back in 1 Hour on Fake News by Wolf Richter • Apr 7, 2025 • 131 Comments Treacherous markets. But they did seem to catch their breath finally. Stocks are due for a big bounce.
Status of US Dollar as Global Reserve Currency: Central Banks Diversify into Other Currencies and Gold by Wolf Richter • Mar 31, 2025 • 114 Comments The surge of the “nontraditional reserve currencies.”
US Government Fiscal Mess: Debt, Deficit, Interest Payments, and Tax Receipts: Q4 2024 Update on an Ugly Situation by Wolf Richter • Mar 27, 2025 • 162 Comments The Deficit-to-GDP ratio and Debt-to-GDP ratio get even uglier.
Treasury Yield Curve Re-Inverts with Sag in the Middle, as Government Swats Down 10-Year Yield. But Mortgage Rates Don’t Follow all the Way, Spread Widens by Wolf Richter • Mar 22, 2025 • 105 Comments Short-term Treasury yields of 6 months or less stay put above 4%.
