Office CMBS Delinquency Rate Spikes to Nightmare Levels, Malls Have Been a Nightmare for Years by Wolf Richter • Oct 2, 2023 • 127 Comments Lodging is Bad, Multifamily hangs in there, Industrial remains unscathed.
THE WOLF STREET REPORT: Stocks, Bonds & CRE Face QT by Wolf Richter • Oct 1, 2023 • 140 Comments Fundamentals for markets have boiled down to QE or QT since 2009. Now there’s QT, a lot of QT, globally, to battle the worst inflation in decades.
Defaulted Crossgates Mall CMBS Loans Sold at 69% Below 2012 Appraised Value of the Mall by Wolf Richter • Aug 18, 2023 • 112 Comments CRE debt keeps on giving. Retail CMBS have been a bloodbath for years. Thankfully, banks largely not on the hook.
CRE Gets Messier: Office-CMBS Delinquency Rate Spikes the Fastest Ever. Bank-Held Office Mortgages also Hit by Wolf Richter • Aug 3, 2023 • 125 Comments Unlike the defaults during the Financial Crisis, this default cycle is structural, in addition to being financial.
How Far Will Commercial Real Estate Values Have to Drop to Start Making Sense? by John McNellis • Jul 31, 2023 • 101 Comments Some asset classes, notably industrial and self-storage, have scarcely declined at all. Others, having flown too close to the sun, have plunged into the sea.
Third Wave of Hotel CRE Defaults Has Started, Triggered by CMBS Maturities and Variable-Rate Mortgages by Wolf Richter • Jul 11, 2023 • 121 Comments CMBS holders are on the hook, not banks. Investors in hotel REITs have gotten totally crushed.
CRE Nightmare for CMBS Holders: Office Mortgage Delinquency Rate Has Biggest Six-Month Spike Ever. It’s just the Beginning by Wolf Richter • Jul 5, 2023 • 133 Comments And it’s structural. Variable-rate CRE mortgages and much higher rates just speed up the process.
Construction Spending on US Manufacturing Plants Soars, to De-Globalize Supply Chains? by Wolf Richter • Jul 3, 2023 • 188 Comments The driver: computer, electronic, and electrical manufacturing.
Revenge of the Variable-Rate Commercial Debts by Wolf Richter • Jun 28, 2023 • 121 Comments Most people in finance today cut their teeth in the era of Easy Money, when history books were thrown out the window. But that era is over.
THE WOLF STREET REPORT: Revenge of Variable-Rate Commercial Debts by Wolf Richter • Jun 24, 2023 • 160 Comments Most people in finance today cut their teeth in the era of Easy Money, when history books were thrown out the window.
