How High Could Long-Term Treasury Yields & Mortgage Rates Go? Why’s there No “Housing Crash?” Consumers Finally Ready to Cut Spending? Tesla Mucks Up GM’s & Ford’s EV Strategy by Wolf Richter • Oct 30, 2023 • 125 Comments Wolf Richter in an interview about these and other hot-button topics.
Fed’s QE Giveth, Fed’s QT Taketh Away: Russell 2000 Hits 3-Year Low, Nasdaq Back to Dec 2020, S&P 500 Back to Apr 2021 by Wolf Richter • Oct 28, 2023 • 241 Comments Since QT started, stocks have been on their own, after having been babied by the Fed since 2008. And it’s not working out.
Powell’s Gonna Have a Cow When He Sees the PCE Inflation in “Core Services,” Housing, and Non-Housing Core Services by Wolf Richter • Oct 27, 2023 • 218 Comments Hitting all his hot buttons today with the month-to-month PCE price index.
Our Drunken Sailors – Consumers, Governments, Businesses – Have Blast, GDP Spikes in Q3, Powell Seen Tearing out his Hair by Wolf Richter • Oct 26, 2023 • 189 Comments The much-awaited and hoped-for slowdown in the second half turned into a drunken party in Q3.
Prices of New Houses -15% from Peak on High Inventories. Sales Held Up with Lower Prices & Massive Mortgage-Rate Buydowns by Wolf Richter • Oct 25, 2023 • 153 Comments What homebuilder PulteGroup said about mortgage-rate buydowns. Homebuilders have figured out this market, homeowners have not.
Alphabet Shows the Mega-Layoff Announcements Were Just That, Headcount Dropped Far Less and is Rising Again by Wolf Richter • Oct 25, 2023 • 52 Comments But the layoff announcements across tech and social media were effective in re-explaining to workers who the boss is.
Teladoc’s Investors Came out of Consensual Hallucination and Smelled the Bad Breath? by Wolf Richter • Oct 24, 2023 • 65 Comments Down 94% from the infamous February 2021. These kinds of goofball charts are stunning — and now totally common.
Cruise Driverless Vehicles in San Francisco Suspended by California DMV “Effective Immediately.” Waymo Can Continue to Operate Robotaxis by Wolf Richter • Oct 24, 2023 • 120 Comments “Not safe for the public’s operation.”
Social Security Update: Trust Fund, Income, Outgo, and Deficit in Fiscal 2023 by Wolf Richter • Oct 23, 2023 • 109 Comments Contributions jumped 11.8% (more people working, big pay increases). Outgo jumped 12.0% (more people at retirement age and the 8.7% COLA).
Spectacle Ensues after 10-Year Treasury Yield Pierces 5%: Huge Demand Piles in, Yield Plunges 19 Basis Points in Hours by Wolf Richter • Oct 23, 2023 • 119 Comments Yield fixes all demand problems. You just have to hit the right number, and the right number today was 5%.
