Nonfarm Job Creation for 12 Months through March Revised Down by 818,000, to 2.08 Million Jobs Created, from 2.90 Million by Wolf Richter • Aug 21, 2024 • 90 Comments 173,500 payroll jobs added on average per month in 12 months, instead of 242,000, but above 2018-2019 average of 171,900: preliminary annual benchmark revisions.
Banks Still Stuck with $13 Billion in Risky Loans from Musk’s LBO of Twitter 22 Months Ago, Possibly the Longest Hung Deal of this Size Ever by Wolf Richter • Aug 20, 2024 • 98 Comments The banks could sell the leveraged loans, but only at a big loss. Some have already written them down by hundreds of millions of dollars.
QT Continues: ECB Balance Sheet: -€2.39 Trillion or -27% from Peak, to €6.45 Trillion, Lowest since August 2020 by Wolf Richter • Aug 20, 2024 • 41 Comments Combined QT by the Fed and ECB removed $4.4 trillion in liquidity so far. A couple of years ago, this would have been an unimaginable feat.
The Only Thing Pushing Up Retail Sales Is Ecommerce. Brick-and-Mortar Sales Have Stagnated for 2 Years by Wolf Richter • Aug 19, 2024 • 58 Comments Ecommerce keeps crushing brick-and-mortar retailers, except in autos, gasoline, and food, but even there, the tide is slowly turning.
China Obscures Stock Market Fund Flows by Foreign Investors: Another Effort to Prop Up the Relentless Long-Term Money Pit by Wolf Richter • Aug 19, 2024 • 69 Comments Since the peak in 2007, the Shanghai Composite Index is down 52%.
A Big Week for Stocks, a Huge 7 Days for Nvidia (+26%), after the Battering They’d Taken by Wolf Richter • Aug 16, 2024 • 121 Comments Much of the heavy lifting of these mindboggling amounts was done in two trading days.
Plunge of Single-Family Construction Starts in July Was Huge Outlier. See Hurricane Beryl. Multifamily Jumped 45% from March Low despite CRE Depression by Wolf Richter • Aug 16, 2024 • 43 Comments What we’re worried about and what we’re not worried about.
These Retail Sales, in Face of Dropping Prices of Goods Retailers Sell, Support Solid Growth in “Real” GDP & Inflation-Adjusted Consumer Spending by Wolf Richter • Aug 15, 2024 • 147 Comments Our Drunken Sailors are in No Mood to slow down. Massive waves of migrants also boost retail sales.
Most Splendid Housing Bubbles in Canada, July 2024 – Toronto, Vancouver, Victoria, Ottawa, Calgary, Montreal, Edmonton, Quebec, Winnipeg: Market “Hits Pause” Despite 2 Rate Cuts by Wolf Richter • Aug 15, 2024 • 41 Comments Toronto single-family prices -15% from peak, condos at multiyear lows. Calgary & Quebec City reach new highs.
Beneath the Skin of CPI Inflation: Broad Month-to-Month Acceleration, Services CPI Bounces Back from Outlier, Plunge in Durable Goods Prices Slows by Wolf Richter • Aug 14, 2024 • 208 Comments Housing CPI re-surged in July from the June outlier.
