Large Upward Revisions of “Core Services” PCE Inflation Pushed Six-Month “Core” PCE Inflation to 3.4%, Worst in a Year by Wolf Richter • Jul 26, 2024 • 142 Comments Fed’s Wait-and-See on rate cuts makes sense amid heavily revised whiplashy data and still too high inflation.
What the Short-Term Treasury Market Says about Rate Cuts, and How Repeatedly Wrong it Was so Far by Wolf Richter • Jul 13, 2024 • 128 Comments Inflation has the upper hand. The market (Goldman Sachs and me included) vastly underestimated the Fed. Someday the market might get it right.
Services PPI Inflation Dishes Up Another Nasty Surprise, 6th Month in a Row. Bottom of U-Turn was in December by Wolf Richter • Jul 12, 2024 • 56 Comments Services are huge, 62% of total PPI. We see parallels to early 2021, when this mess started. But core goods are well-behaved.
Beneath the Skin of CPI Inflation: Historic Plunge in Durable Goods Prices, Plunge in Gasoline, and Outliers in Services by Wolf Richter • Jul 11, 2024 • 93 Comments Core Services CPI produced 2nd outlier. In the past, after two outliers in this very volatile data, the next move was a U-turn.
Inflation Saga Far from Over: Services CPI in the Euro Area Refuses to Slow for 8th Month in a Row by Wolf Richter • Jul 2, 2024 • 66 Comments Lagarde frets over surging labor costs feeding into services inflation.
Fed’s Wait-and-See on Rate Cuts Makes Sense amid Whiplash Data: Still Worst 6-Month “Core” PCE Inflation since mid-2023 but Freak Plunge in Durable Goods by Wolf Richter • Jun 28, 2024 • 65 Comments Housing inflation was hot and accelerated in May, amid crazy whiplash-data in other services.
Corporate Profits by Major Industry, Q1 Update: “Greedflation” Hits Ceiling in Some Industries but Still Thrives in Others? by Wolf Richter • Jun 27, 2024 • 46 Comments The huge spike in profits during the high-inflation years backtracked in some industries but got even hotter in others.
Inflation in Canada Throws Another Curveball: Core CPI Spikes Month-to-Month by Most since 2022 by Wolf Richter • Jun 25, 2024 • 32 Comments It was obviously “unexpected.” But the Bank of Canada has been leery of this sort of mess showing up.
Beneath the Skin of CPI Inflation: A Stunning Outlier Services CPI Drove Down Everything Else by Wolf Richter • Jun 12, 2024 • 131 Comments Services are big, and that one-month outlier was massive, and it drove down Core CPI and overall CPI.
Used Car Wholesale Prices Continue Plunge, Gave up 59% of Pandemic Spike. But still up 35% from Jan 2020: EVs +72%, ICE Vehicles +34% by Wolf Richter • Jun 10, 2024 • 92 Comments Compact trucks +70% since Jan 2020; full-size pickups +39%, SUVs +30%, compact cars +20%. Auto insurance +44% since Jan 2022.
