“House Price Inflation” in Canada

Is the blindingly magnificent housing bubble in Canada running out of steam? Even the US housing bubble that imploded so spectacularly, pales by comparison. It’s so big and so all-encompassing that even the Bank of Canada and ratings agencies publicly fret about the damage it might do to banks, and the entire financial system, when it meets its maker.

But in September, mortgages rates dropped once again to near historic lows, and home sales jumped to the highest level since February 2010. The Teranet–National Bank National Composite House Price Index inched up 0.3% from August – what it calls “national house price inflation,” a refreshing bout of honesty that their US counterparts would never dare to display. This “national house price inflation” was 5.4% year over year.

And this is what the Canadian housing bubble looks like compared to the US housing bubble:

Canada-house-price-index+US-CaseShiller-Sep

Hot: Calgary (+9.5%), Toronto (+7.4%), and Vancouver (+6.5%). Regions east of Toronto were losing steam: Halifax (+2.3%), Montreal (+0.7%), Quebec City (+0.5%), and Ottawa-Gatineau (+0.1%).

But on a monthly basis, there were already some losers: Hamilton (-0.4%), Montreal (-0.9%), Ottawa-Gatineau (-1.1%), and Victoria (-1.8%).

So the Bank of Canada is publicly worried that the housing bubble is so vast and households so weighed down with debt that a “sharp correction in house prices” could take down the financial system. Read…. Is Canada Next? Housing Bubble Threatens ‘Financial Stability’

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  2 comments for ““House Price Inflation” in Canada

  1. Ray
    Oct 15, 2014 at 10:29 pm

    The housing bubble won’t burst, they are going to toss the economy in the toilet and find a scapegoat to blame it on.

  2. raybob
    Oct 16, 2014 at 1:06 pm

    Thanks Ben B and Greenspan. It’s all the US’s fault! El cheapo rates.

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