Here Come the HELOCs: Mortgages, Housing-Debt-to-Income-Ratio, Serious Delinquencies, and Foreclosures in Q1 2025 by Wolf Richter • May 14, 2025 • 61 Comments Who’s on the hook this time? Mostly not the banks, but taxpayers, except for HELOCs.
Housing Bubble & Bust #1 and #2 as Seen through Employment at Mortgage Lenders: They Shed Jobs Again, 38% Gone by Wolf Richter • May 12, 2025 • 69 Comments Nonbank mortgage lenders and loan brokers react quickly to demand, which has collapsed.
How the Debt Ceiling Is Now Pouring Liquidity into Financial Markets, only to Suck it Back Out Very Fast Later this Year by Wolf Richter • May 11, 2025 • 100 Comments Last time, $840 billion got sucked out in 5 months, all from excess cash in ON RRPs. But after $2.26 trillion of QT, ON RRPs are nearly gone.
Dear Readers, Please Donate to WOLF STREET: Spring 2025 Reminder by Wolf Richter • May 8, 2025 • 31 Comments Your generous support has kept WOLF STREET free and open to all, and not behind a paywall. Thank you!!
Recession Watch: Time to Dig Out Our Favorite Recession Indicator Again by Wolf Richter • May 8, 2025 • 101 Comments Recession talk is swirling densely all over the place, so let’s have a look.
I’ve Been Screaming about Rising Used-Vehicle Prices since Aug 2024 (and No One Paid Attention) but Suddenly It’s the Tariffs? by Wolf Richter • May 7, 2025 • 75 Comments The issue has been tight used-vehicle inventory due to reduced influx of 2021/2022 model years after the new-vehicle shortages at the time.
California Inventory of Homes for Sale Suddenly Piles Up: +51% Year-over-Year, to Highest April in Years by Wolf Richter • May 5, 2025 • 87 Comments Active listings in San Diego +70% yoy, Los Angeles +50%, San Jose & Silicon Valley +67%; San Francisco metro +43% (highest April since at least 2016)
Unsold Inventory of Homes for Sale in Florida Pile up Further in April. Some Metros Start Seeing Gluts, Miami Still Lags a Little by Wolf Richter • May 3, 2025 • 94 Comments Active Listings compared to April 2019: Jacksonville +23%, North Port-Sarasota +29%, Tampa +31%, Orlando +40%, Cape Coral-Fort Myers +42%, Lakeland-Winter Haven +71%.
Tariffs Start Washing into the Government Checking Account by Wolf Richter • May 2, 2025 • 164 Comments The cashflow of Customs and Excise Taxes has nearly doubled in two months.
Labor Market Is Just Fine Despite Dropping Federal Government Jobs, Media-Driven Moaning and Groaning, and Tariff Chaos by Wolf Richter • May 2, 2025 • 81 Comments The millions of immigrants that arrived in 2021-2024 finally get picked up in the data for labor force and total employment, which continued to spike.