What rabble-rousers, economists (those banished from the mainstream media), and bloggers have hammered on for years, a study by the San Francisco Fed finally confesses: Quantitative Easing didn’t do a heck of a lot of good for the real economy. The timing of the study is impeccable: the nearing end of QE – and the market mayhem it might cause.
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Cracks In China’s Construction Bubble (But It’s Not Going To End)
by Wolf Richter • • Comments Off on Cracks In China’s Construction Bubble (But It’s Not Going To End)
China’s phenomenal construction bubble, driven by local governments that must keep their economies growing, no matter what the costs, and funded by state-owned megabanks, has led to an equally phenomenal misallocation of capital, overbuilding, waste, ghost cities, empty shopping malls, and now an epidemic of shuttered luxury department stores.
David Stockman: Hedge Funds, Haven Of Hit-And-Run Capital For The 1 Percent
by David Stockman • • Comments Off on David Stockman: Hedge Funds, Haven Of Hit-And-Run Capital For The 1 Percent
During the 14 years since the LTCM crisis, the Fed’s interest rate repression policies have resulted in an inflation-adjusted return on six-month CDs of exactly 0%, David Stockman writes. It revolutionized the saving and investment habits of the wealthiest households. Unlike hapless savers among the middle class, the rich had an escape route.
Breaking the Taboo of Drug Legalisation
by Don Quijones • • Comments Off on Breaking the Taboo of Drug Legalisation
By Don Quijones: Uruguay rarely draws international attention. Sandwiched between its much larger, much rowdier neighbors, it is, and has been for decades, a relative oasis of calm. But that is about to change: Uruguay is on the verge of becoming the first ever Latin American country to decriminalize the consumption of marijuana.
Why I’m Deeply Worried About Japan – And Why Betting On The Collapse Of JGBs Is A Horrible Idea
by Wolf Richter • • Comments Off on Why I’m Deeply Worried About Japan – And Why Betting On The Collapse Of JGBs Is A Horrible Idea
You don’t seem to “think Abenomics is working,” a reader wrote, followed by tough questions and a comparison to Kyle Bass, who has been betting on a “full-blown Japan crisis.” It got me thinking. I’m attached to Japan. What started in 1996 has turned into a complex relationship. But now that Abenomics is the religion of salvation, I’m even more worried.
“Yes We Scan” (Everything)
by Wolf Richter • • Comments Off on “Yes We Scan” (Everything)
Trouble In Junk Bond Lala-Land
by Wolf Richter • • Comments Off on Trouble In Junk Bond Lala-Land
Private Equity firms have seen this coming for months. They’re positioning themselves for it. In April, Leon Black, CEO of Apollo Global Management, explained it this way to an incredulous world: “We’re selling everything that’s not nailed down.” Now they’re setting records – but someone will end up holding the bag.
NSA Pricked The “Cloud” Bubble For US Tech Companies
by Wolf Richter • • Comments Off on NSA Pricked The “Cloud” Bubble For US Tech Companies
The cloud is a growth industry. And a religion in Silicon Valley: you’re better off with all your data and software stored in a data center somewhere on the planet. It’s a beacon of growth that revenue-challenged global tech giants like Oracle and IBM wave in the faces of antsy investors. But now, they’re going to pay a steep price for their cooperation with the NSA.
David Stockman: Hedge Funds, Prime Brokers, And The Whirligig of Wall Street Finance
by David Stockman • • Comments Off on David Stockman: Hedge Funds, Prime Brokers, And The Whirligig of Wall Street Finance
Room For Hope? Fourth Largest Industry In France: It’s “Never Been This Catastrophic”
by Wolf Richter • • Comments Off on Room For Hope? Fourth Largest Industry In France: It’s “Never Been This Catastrophic”
An awful turn of events in France, just when everyone was hailing signs of a recovery, of which evidence has been trickling in, albeit mixed at best. If you held your tongue just right, you could see vague glimmers of hope. Then came the results from France’s fourth largest industry, hotels and restaurants (along with the idea that you can always raise taxes).