Trade is one of the aspects that Abenomics designated as critical. So the Bank of Japan has embarked on a radical money-printing program to devalue the yen and make exports more competitive. It would also render imports so expensive that buyers would cut back. The resulting trade surplus would save Japan. In theory. In reality, the opposite is happening.
Japan
Revenge of the Japanese Zombie Banks
by Wolf Richter • • Comments Off on Revenge of the Japanese Zombie Banks
Japanese banks, which should know a thing or two about banking crises, have once again clawed their way to the top of the heap of overseas lenders. And with their knack for impeccable timing, they’ve once again become the largest force in emerging market economies – just as financial turmoil there is coming to a boil.
Japan’s Frantic Redo Of An Artificial Boom Followed By A Bust
by Wolf Richter • • Comments Off on Japan’s Frantic Redo Of An Artificial Boom Followed By A Bust
So the Japanese economy is booming. GDP growth in the April-June quarter was revised up to 3.8%, driven by higher big-ticket spending and government outlays. The January-March quarter was revised up to 4.1%. Three quarters in a row of growth, fed by something we’ve seen before. In 1996. And it ended in tears.
“We Don’t Feel Any Impact Of Abenomics Here”
by Wolf Richter • • Comments Off on “We Don’t Feel Any Impact Of Abenomics Here”
For Japan’s megabanks, lending has rebounded. But instead of funding industrial projects in Japan, they’re funding acquisitions overseas and highfalutin real-estate speculation in Tokyo. They wrote up stock holdings and extracted fees from frenzied trading. Profits surged. They’re the prime beneficiaries of Abenomics. But smaller banks are not so lucky.
Abenomics Wins: Budget And Inflation Both Jump (Over The Cliff)
by Wolf Richter • • Comments Off on Abenomics Wins: Budget And Inflation Both Jump (Over The Cliff)
It would be ridiculous if it weren’t so sad: Facing exploding budget deficits and an uncircumnavigable mountain of debt over twice the size of the economy – Japan’s two largest economic problems – the government in its blind devotion to the religion of Abenomics screams, “Damn the torpedoes, full speed ahead.”
“Limited Freedom of Speech” For Japanese Bureaucrats To Cover Up The “Dire Fiscal Condition”
by Wolf Richter • • Comments Off on “Limited Freedom of Speech” For Japanese Bureaucrats To Cover Up The “Dire Fiscal Condition”
He came out and said what no one in the power structure was allowed to say. It was blasphemy against Abenomics that rules governmental thinking. Abenomics wouldn’t solve Japan’s fiscal and economic problems, he said. And the government’s outlook was way too rosy. But “without realistic figures, a real debate on fiscal reform can’t begin.”
Abenomics Utter Fail: Japan’s Crazy Exploding Trade Deficit
by Wolf Richter • • Comments Off on Abenomics Utter Fail: Japan’s Crazy Exploding Trade Deficit
The new salvation religion being preached in Japan to a hardened and cynical bunch who’ve lived through one of the worst bubbles and busts in recent history is this: prodigious money-printing will devalue the yen, causing exports to skyrocket and imports to shrink. The resulting trade surplus will save Japan. But the opposite is happening. And fast!
Why I’m Deeply Worried About Japan – And Why Betting On The Collapse Of JGBs Is A Horrible Idea
by Wolf Richter • • Comments Off on Why I’m Deeply Worried About Japan – And Why Betting On The Collapse Of JGBs Is A Horrible Idea
You don’t seem to “think Abenomics is working,” a reader wrote, followed by tough questions and a comparison to Kyle Bass, who has been betting on a “full-blown Japan crisis.” It got me thinking. I’m attached to Japan. What started in 1996 has turned into a complex relationship. But now that Abenomics is the religion of salvation, I’m even more worried.
The Dark Side Of The Guys Who Run Japan Oozes To The Surface
by Wolf Richter • • Comments Off on The Dark Side Of The Guys Who Run Japan Oozes To The Surface
Japan’s Prime Minister Shinzo Abe skillfully used his miraculous economic salvation plan, a religion lovingly dubbed Abenomics, as a platform to catapult his party, the LDP, into power. With the LDP controlling both houses of parliament, real changes, after years of dickering, might now finally be possible.
The Systematic, Unrelenting Deterioration Of Japan’s Trade
by Wolf Richter • • Comments Off on The Systematic, Unrelenting Deterioration Of Japan’s Trade
The all-out effort by Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe to print money, stir up inflation, devalue the yen, blow asset bubbles, and pile on even more government debt – a newfangled religion called Abenomics – is bearing fruit. But the primary objective, creating a trade surplus to crank up the real economy, is failing miserably.