Here’s my Powell Cocktail, Not Quite in his Own Words by Wolf Richter • Jan 31, 2024 • 147 Comments It’s premature to think rate cuts are right around the corner, we haven’t decided anything yet, it’s meeting by meeting, but in March no way Jose, I mean, that’s not my base case.
Wow, Fed’s Statement Pushes Back against Rate-Cut Mania and End-of-QT Mania. Holds Rates at 5.50% Top of Range, QT to Continue as Planned by Wolf Richter • Jan 31, 2024 • 134 Comments Ok, so that push-back in the statement was unexpected.
The Most Splendid Housing Bubbles in America, January 2024 Update. Biggest Price Drops from 2022 Peak: San Francisco, Seattle, Portland, Denver, Las Vegas, even San Diego by Wolf Richter • Jan 30, 2024 • 150 Comments The 20-City Index dips off a beautiful double-top. Some metros saw new highs.
Tesla Closes in on Toyota in California: The Battle for #1. Total EV Sales +46% in 2023, EV Share Hits 21% by Wolf Richter • Jan 30, 2024 • 151 Comments Tesla +24.6%, Toyota +2%. Model Y +52%, #1 bestseller by far; Model 3 is #2 bestseller. Toyota loses it, Camry sales -16%, RAV4 +1%.
Treasury Department Trying Very Hard to Push Down Yields with its Quarterly Refunding Announcements. So We Take a Look by Wolf Richter • Jan 29, 2024 • 118 Comments Here come the “Marketable Borrowing Estimates,” showing by how much the pile of outstanding marketable Treasury securities will increase.
US Debt-to-GDP Ratio Worsens Further, Despite Solid Economic Growth, as Government Debt Balloons at a Scary Pace by Wolf Richter • Jan 27, 2024 • 301 Comments The economy grew solidly. The debt spiked.
On the Surface, PCE Inflation Is Encouraging, But Beneath it, Core Services Accelerated, Housing Stuck at 5.7% for Six Months by Wolf Richter • Jan 26, 2024 • 106 Comments And a look back at the head-fakes core services inflation dished up last time with this type of inflation.
Prices of New Houses Drop to 2-Year Low by Wolf Richter • Jan 25, 2024 • 99 Comments Homebuilders do what it takes to sell homes in this market while sales of existing homes have collapsed.
The Year of the Recession that Didn’t Come: Our Drunken Sailors Partied & Spent, GDP Jumped by Wolf Richter • Jan 25, 2024 • 100 Comments All major categories of spending and investment pulled in the same direction.
“Effective Immediately,” Fed Shuts Down Arbitrage Opportunity with the Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) by Wolf Richter • Jan 24, 2024 • 134 Comments This is funny, in a central-bank kind of way.
