Construction Spending Squeaks to Record amid Eyepopping Boom in Spending on Factories while Residential Construction Tries to Dig Out of Last Year’s Slump by Wolf Richter • Sep 3, 2024 • 43 Comments Majority of construction spending goes into nonresidential, dominated now by a spending spree on factories.
Why We’ll Replace the Case-Shiller Home Price Index for Our Series, “The Most Splendid Housing Bubbles in America” by Wolf Richter • Sep 2, 2024 • 99 Comments The series, started in 2017 to document visually the surging home prices amid the Fed’s interest rate repression, will now get bigger and better.
Our Drunken Sailors Are at it Again, Not at All in the Mood for a Slowdown or a Recession by Wolf Richter • Aug 30, 2024 • 161 Comments Inflation-adjusted consumer spending jumped. They splurged on durable goods. And still saved some. In response, the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow jumped.
Fed Favored Annual Core PCE Price Index Slightly Up, at 2.6%: Core Services Inflation 3.7%, Durable Goods Deflation -2.5% by Wolf Richter • Aug 30, 2024 • 72 Comments Month-to-month, core services inflation jumped while durable goods deflation deepened, and so core PCE price index hits Fed’s target.
Spiking Interest Payments on the Ballooning US Government Debt v. Tax Receipts, GDP, and Inflation: Q2 Update by Wolf Richter • Aug 29, 2024 • 91 Comments Burden of the national debt: The portion of tax receipts swallowed by interest payments.
Buyers’ Strike Deepens: Pending Home Sales Drop to Record Low Despite Surging Supply & Much Lower Mortgage Rates that Already Price in Massive Rate Cuts by Wolf Richter • Aug 29, 2024 • 131 Comments “A sales recovery did not occur in midsummer”: NAR. Because prices are way too high, doesn’t take a genius to figure that out.
Treasury Department Aggressively Pushes Down Long-Term Interest Rates via Shift to T-bill Issuance and Bond Buybacks by Wolf Richter • Aug 28, 2024 • 168 Comments But buybacks occur at huge losses for investors. Today it bought back a 1.25% 20-year bond for 66 cents on the dollar.
The Most Splendid Housing Bubbles in America, Aug 2024 Update: Prices Decelerate. Below 2022 Peak: San Francisco, Phoenix, Seattle, Portland, Denver, Dallas, Las Vegas by Wolf Richter • Aug 27, 2024 • 106 Comments New Highs: Miami, Los Angeles, San Diego, Boston, New York, Miami, Tampa, Washington DC, Chicago.
Manufacturing (beyond Boeing) Not Dead: Orders Rose to New Highs in 2024, after a Little Dip in 2023, after Pandemic Boom by Wolf Richter • Aug 26, 2024 • 29 Comments And the order backlog has started rising again.
The Data Mess. Markets, Interest Rates & Inflation and There’s Still No Recession; Risks of Financialization & Overleverage by Wolf Richter • Aug 26, 2024 • 87 Comments Wolf Richter on Thoughtful Money.
