Bessent Blasts the Fed for QE, its “Perverse Incentives” for Fiscal “Irresponsibility,” “Wealth Effect” Policies, “Class and Generational Disparities,” Failure on Inflation… Oh I So Agree by Wolf Richter • Sep 5, 2025 • 86 Comments “This harmful cycle concentrated national wealth among those who already owned assets”: Bessent.
My Thoughts about that August Jobs Report by Wolf Richter • Sep 5, 2025 • 81 Comments Federal & State Governments Shed 28,000 Jobs in August. Private-sector hiring machine slows, waiting for clarity, but layoffs remain very low.
Fed Balance Sheet QT: -$39 Billion in August, -$2.36 Trillion from Peak, to $6.60 Trillion by Wolf Richter • Sep 4, 2025 • 41 Comments Compared to the size of the economy, the Fed’s assets are now down to 21.8% of GDP, where they’d first been in 2013.
Despite all the Shouting by the Cut-Rates-Now Crowd, Unemployment Claims Do Not Depict a “Cracking” Labor Market by Wolf Richter • Sep 4, 2025 • 59 Comments Unemployment claims are even with a year ago and are below two years ago.
ON RRPs Drop to Near-Zero $17.9 Billion, Liquidity Flow into Markets Over, while TGA Refilling Drains Liquidity from Markets by Wolf Richter • Sep 3, 2025 • 59 Comments Liquidity now begins to drain out of the markets for the first time since the debt ceiling.
Office CMBS Delinquency Rate Spikes to Record 11.7%, Much Worse than Financial Crisis Peak. Multifamily Delinquencies also Spike by Wolf Richter • Sep 1, 2025 • 93 Comments Extend-and-pretend and forbearance deals widely implemented to “cure” delinquent CRE mortgages.
30-Year Treasury Yield Stuck Near 5% on Inflation Fears, but 6-Month Yield Drops, Sees Rate Cuts, Long End of Yield Curve Steepens a Lot, Mortgage Rates still over 6.5% by Wolf Richter • Aug 30, 2025 • 129 Comments The bond market’s reaction to cocktail of inflation fears, potentially lax Fed, and Mississippi River of new debt flowing into the market.
Core Services PCE Inflation Spikes (Not Tariffed), Durable Goods Inflation (where Tariffs Hit) Turns Negative Month to Month by Wolf Richter • Aug 29, 2025 • 84 Comments Services are where two-thirds of consumer spending goes. And that’s where inflation is. But it’s no longer in rents.
US Government’s Fiscal Mess: Interest Payments on the Treasury Debt, Interest Rates, Tax Receipts, and Debt-to-GDP Ratio in Q2 2025 by Wolf Richter • Aug 28, 2025 • 73 Comments An ugly situation. But capital gains taxes and tariffs helped. And the debt ceiling covered up part of the problem.
Buyers Strike: Pending Home Sales Drop Further, Plunge in Midwest, Near Record Lows in All Regions, as Supply Balloons by Wolf Richter • Aug 28, 2025 • 90 Comments And to top it off: cancellations of pending sales rose to a record rate in July.