Colossal Churn in the Labor Market Ends: Voluntary Quits, Job Openings, Layoffs & Discharges, and Hires by Wolf Richter • Mar 6, 2024 • 90 Comments The headlines about massive layoff announcements had their intended psychological effect on workers.
There’s a “New Upside Risk” in Town: “Pent-up Exuberance” – Fed’s Bostic by Wolf Richter • Mar 5, 2024 • 201 Comments If it’s unleashed at the “first hint” of a rate cut, it’ll “create upward pressure on prices.” But it may be too late, it has been unleashed by rate-cut mania.
Production & Exports of Crude Oil & Petroleum Products Soar to Record in 2023, SPR Gets Refilled (Slowly) by Wolf Richter • Mar 4, 2024 • 65 Comments US oil production boom has dramatically changed global energy dynamics.
Inflation & Interest Rates; the Big Housing Arbitrage; Office CRE & Banks; Skid Marks of China’s RE Chaos in the US; Legacy Automakers’ EV Woes; and Other Thoughts by Wolf Richter • Mar 4, 2024 • 33 Comments Wolf Richter on “This Week in Money.”
US Natural Gas Production, Exports of Natural Gas via LNG and Pipelines, All Soar to New Records in 2023, Price Collapses by Wolf Richter • Mar 3, 2024 • 86 Comments The US became the largest LNG exporter in the world in 2023. It has long been the largest natural gas producer in the world.
Fed Discusses Balance Sheet “Normalization”: ON RRPs & MBS Go to Zero, Reserves Drop a Lot, Slower QT Reduces Risk of “Accidents,” SRF Calms Repo Market, Future QE without Increasing the Balance Sheet by Wolf Richter • Mar 2, 2024 • 186 Comments The Fed’s Waller and Logan lay out some basic principles.
Inflation Saga Far from Over: Services Inflation in Euro Area Just as Stubborn as in the US, Makes Very Disconcerting Moves by Wolf Richter • Mar 1, 2024 • 133 Comments Over the three months through February, services inflation has been running at roughly the same hot rate as during the peak a year ago.
Worst Monthly Spike of “Core Services” PCE Inflation in 22 Years, and Not Just Housing: Powell’s Gonna Have Another Cow by Wolf Richter • Feb 29, 2024 • 295 Comments Core services inflation dished up bad head fakes last time we had this mess in 1966-1982. Mention of a rate hike crops up in a Fed speech.
ECB Balance Sheet QT: Down €2.0 Trillion from Peak, to €6.83 Trillion. The ECB Shed 48% of its Pandemic QE Assets by Wolf Richter • Feb 28, 2024 • 55 Comments A big milestone for Quantitative Tightening in the euro area.
The Most Splendid Housing Bubbles in America, Feb 2024 Update: 20-City Index Drops for 2nd Month from Double-Top. Biggest Price Drops from 2022 Peak: San Francisco, Seattle, Portland, Denver, Phoenix, Las Vegas, Dallas, San Diego by Wolf Richter • Feb 27, 2024 • 166 Comments These double-tops are weird. Prices coming off the second top. Only Miami home prices hit new high.
