Job Openings Jump by 443,000 in 2 Months: Labor Market Retightens, Fed Faces Scenario of Solid Job Market and Accelerating Inflation by Wolf Richter • Dec 9, 2025 • 63 Comments 7.67 million job openings, highest since May, 2nd highest all year, and up from a year ago.
In Edgy Bond Market, 30-Year Treasury Yield Hits 3-Month High, 10-Year Yield Hits 1-Month High, Mortgage Rates Jump by Wolf Richter • Dec 8, 2025 • 79 Comments The expected rate cut gets complicated: A dovish Fed amid rising inflation can spook the bond market.
The Fed Will Talk a lot about “Reserve Balances” and “Reserve Management Purchases” at its FOMC Meetings by Wolf Richter • Dec 8, 2025 • 59 Comments What Are They? And why now?
NAR Says Typical First-Time Homebuyer Age Was 40 in 2025, up from 33 in 2021. But Is this Accurate? by Wolf Richter • Dec 5, 2025 • 65 Comments A narrative gets debunked. The affordability crisis remains.
CMBS: “Commercial Mortgage BS” by John McNellis • Dec 5, 2025 • 36 Comments “We should have learned our lesson and sworn off CMBS forever”: McNellis, commercial real estate developer.
Fed Balance Sheet QT: -$37 Billion in November, -$2.43 Trillion from Peak, to $6.54 Trillion by Wolf Richter • Dec 4, 2025 • 61 Comments Standing Repo Facility at zero, after doing its job calming the repo market at month-end. QT ended on December 1, but in November, QT continued.
Low-Fire Low-Hire Job Market, after Massive Overhiring by Big Tech & Others in 2021 & 2022 by Wolf Richter • Dec 4, 2025 • 61 Comments But today’s initial unemployment insurance claims were a doozie that’ll reverse next week.
Private-Sector Job Trends by Industry: From Job Destruction in “Information” to Job Creation in “Mining & Natural Resources” by Wolf Richter • Dec 3, 2025 • 55 Comments Three-month average job creation dips into negative for the first time since 2020, per ADP data.
Services Inflation Accelerates Further in the Euro Area, Drives Overall & Core CPI Higher by Wolf Richter • Dec 2, 2025 • 20 Comments Services inflation was on the ECB’s worry-list when it kept rates unchanged for the third meeting in a row.
Mortgage Rates, 10-Year & 30-Year Treasury Yields Jump, Wiping out in One Day the Entire Drop of Last Week by Wolf Richter • Dec 2, 2025 • 118 Comments The bond market went back to work on Monday.
