Subprime, Prime, and Overall Auto-Loan Delinquency Rates: Why this Surge in “Subprime” Delinquencies when “Prime” Is Pristine? by Wolf Richter • Jan 22, 2025 • 55 Comments We’re in the 4th cycle of the subprime profit motive after auto-loan securitizations became a thing in the early 1990s.
“Locked-in” Homeowners Nevertheless Pay Off Below-4% Mortgages: their Share of All Mortgages Outstanding Drops to 55%, Lowest since Q1 2021 by Wolf Richter • Jan 20, 2025 • 172 Comments Big changes in life, corporate switcheroos from working-remotely-forever to return-to-the-office, job changes, natural disasters, etc., force their hand.
The Big Cities with the Biggest Price Declines of Single-Family Houses or Condos from their Peaks: From -9% to -21% by Wolf Richter • Jan 19, 2025 • 114 Comments Austin, Oakland, New Orleans, San Francisco, Washington D.C., New York City, Detroit, Seattle, Portland, Tampa.
Bring on the Supply: Single-Family Construction Starts in 2024 Rose to 2nd Highest in 17 Years amid Budding Glut. Multifamily Starts Plunge from Boom amid Oversupply & CRE Depression by Wolf Richter • Jan 17, 2025 • 81 Comments But small multifamily buildings with 2-4 units dodge the CRE depression.
ECB Faces a Problem: Euro Area Services Inflation Stuck at 4.0% for 13th Month. CPI Accelerates Further, as Energy & Durable Goods Stopped Plunging by Wolf Richter • Jan 17, 2025 • 21 Comments Inflation far from over. ECB risks throwing fuel on top of it.
The Fed Needs to Watch Out: Amid Strong Demand from our Drunken Sailors, Retail Sales Surged in Late 2024 and Inflation Caught its Second Wind by Wolf Richter • Jan 16, 2025 • 162 Comments More consumers, more workers, more jobs, more money. GDPNow jumps upon these retail sales.
The Most Splendid Housing Bubbles in Canada, Dec. 2024 by Metro: Toronto, Vancouver, Victoria, Calgary, Ottawa, Montreal, Quebec City, Halifax, Edmonton, Winnipeg by Wolf Richter • Jan 15, 2025 • 55 Comments Toronto single-family -19% from Feb 2022 peak, condos hit 3-year low. Vancouver eases further. Calgary condos sag. New highs in some markets.
Beneath the Skin of CPI Inflation: YoY CPI +2.9%, Worst since July, MoM CPI +0.39% (+4.8% Annualized), Worst since February. Core CPI Stuck for 7th Month at 3.1%-3.3% by Wolf Richter • Jan 15, 2025 • 88 Comments Categories that helped power the cooling of CPI are U-Turning – used & new vehicles, food, energy – just as housing seems to be coming in line.
PPI Inflation Accelerates to +3.3%, Driven by “Core Services,” +4.0%, both the Worst Readings in Nearly 2 Years by Wolf Richter • Jan 14, 2025 • 84 Comments 2024, the year of sharp acceleration. Services, accounting for two-thirds of PPI, are where inflation is festering and accelerating.
Some Basics about U.S. Tariffs, and What Trump’s New Economic Team Said about Tariffs by Wolf Richter • Jan 13, 2025 • 217 Comments “In the real world, we have a one-sided free-trade policy in which America isn’t nearly as protectionist as other countries.”
