Banks’ Exposure to CRE Loans by Bank Size by Wolf Richter • Apr 13, 2024 • 80 Comments When CRE hits investors, fine, they were paid to take those risks. But we’re a little more squeamish when it comes to banks.
The Most Splendid Housing Bubbles in Canada: Home Prices Dip Further, -14% from Peak in March 2022, Now Below Sep 2021 by Wolf Richter • Apr 12, 2024 • 104 Comments Condos in Toronto hit 28-month low. But Vancouver house prices only -3.9% from peak in 2022. Calgary house prices jump to new high; oil boom helps.
Two Things about the PPI Today: The March Seasonal Adjustments Were Huge, and the 3-Month Rates All Jumped by Wolf Richter • Apr 11, 2024 • 93 Comments Including by 7.9% annualized for the not-seasonally adjusted PPI, worst since June 2022. So we’ll take a look.
Treasury Yields Spike, 3-Year by 25 Basis Points. Mortgage Rates Hit 7.34%. Services Inflation Smacks Down Rate-Cut Mania by Wolf Richter • Apr 10, 2024 • 185 Comments A Bloodbath was had by all?
Beneath the Skin of CPI Inflation, March: Inflation Behaves Very Badly, Saga Far from Over by Wolf Richter • Apr 10, 2024 • 201 Comments Ugly inflation in services drives up 3-month “core CPI” for 7th month, to 4.5% annualized, worst in a year, and 3-month overall CPI to worst since Nov 2022.
The Biggest Landlords of Single-Family Rental Houses and Multifamily Apartments: Who Owns the US Housing Stock? by Wolf Richter • Apr 9, 2024 • 170 Comments 80% of single-family rentals are mom-and-pop; mega-landlords own just 3%. But mega-landlords dominate multifamily rentals.
What Jamie Dimon Said about Long-Term Inflation, Fed Interest Rates (“2% to 8% or even more”), and QE/QT (it’s Risky) by Wolf Richter • Apr 8, 2024 • 150 Comments “Rates have been extremely low for a long time — it’s hard to know how many investors and companies are truly prepared for a higher rate environment.”
Bank of Canada Balance Sheet QT Sheds 64% of Pandemic QE Assets, Indicates QT Might End in September 2025 by Wolf Richter • Apr 7, 2024 • 53 Comments “Balance sheet normalization” will continue even if the BoC cuts its rates. It’s all about “settlement balances.”
ECB Balance Sheet QT: -€2.2 Trillion from Peak, to €6.61 Trillion. Shed 25% of Total Assets, 53% of Pandemic QE by Wolf Richter • Apr 7, 2024 • 38 Comments Fed and ECB combined removed $4 trillion in liquidity. Inflation, after decades of calm, is hammering some sense into these central banks.
10-Year Yield Hits 4.40% as Bond Market Begins to Adjust to Higher Forever: Higher Rates and Higher Inflation by Wolf Richter • Apr 5, 2024 • 204 Comments Suddenly lots of talk the 10-year yield will revisit 5%, which is funny just a few months after Rate-Cut Mania.